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by eunoia 1202 days ago
> Considering they exceeded all analyst expectations for revenue and profits in the last quarter, it's safe to say that some of their effort is working.

> The fact that they also decided that 8K out of the 25K+ employees hired during the pandemic were redundant

Kinda odd how you attribute them "beating the street" more to Mathew McConaughey's presence than the work output of 8 thousand employees. Can you elaborate on why this is so clear to you?

4 comments

The old joke is the marketing manager saying: "Half of all our marketing expenditures are wasted. The problem is we don't know which half."

In my years in business, it's nearly impossible to draw an accurate cause and effect line between marketing and sales. Too many other factors at work.

One thing I've noticed is that having competent and down to earth marketing folks also helps to boos overall morale at a company.
It does seem odd that companies would pay for services from Salesforce because of a celebrity quip, instead of a determination that said services would improve the company's operations.

Or perhaps these Marketing departments are just really good at internal marketing of budget usage?

That's not what marketing does. It doesn't influence the decision. Marketing makes sure your company is top of mind when the customer decides to make a decision.
Not just that. An effect of advertising I only understood later in life is that they give the company name recognition among all your peers.

E.g. BMW doesn't create car commercials just to get everyone to think about BMW when buying cars. They make car commercials to make sure everyone knows that BMW is expensive and good, so that driving a BMW is a signal that you're wealthy.

Similarly, Salesforce might want to make it clear that if you go with them, it's a "defensible" choice that you can easily explain to your boss.

To be fair though, that's influencing the decision that they make, at least averaged over many people.
So are you saying, then, that you find it odd that marketing and advertising works? Nothing wrong if you do, I just wanted to be clear on that point.
No, I find it odd to spend that much cash on a celebrity endorsement when the target consumer audience (businesses) know that the celebrity is not a Sales Force customer:

"What the heck to Matthew McConaughey use SalesForce for ?"

  or more importantly:
"Why is SalesForce paying that kind of money when they could be investing instead in their abysmal support?" - as a SF/Tableau customer this is my perspective.
how do you know it worked in this specific case though? maybe Salesforce would have done just as well financially and also saved 20 million or something like that without that ad campaign
And maybe it wouldn't have. But since I don't work for SalesForce's marketing dept, there's no way to tell.
We buy face creams and cars and sodas and everything else under the sun because popular celebrities tell us to. You can find it "odd" but it works.
It works for enterprise software? why so few companies do it then?

also even if we focus on the consumer market there are very successful companies which don’t spend any money on traditional marketing and don’t do ads at all.

> It works for enterprise software?

Is not really a new marketing concept

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=P0AJM6HMYjM

> there are very successful companies

Naming a couple would make your claim more persuasive.

Is it very hard to believe that (1) some single digit % of employees (and even entire divisions) at a massive corporation – one that nearly doubled in size during the pandemic – aren't adding a lot of value and (2) a flashy marketing campaign can bring a company new customers?
8k of 25k is not some "single digit %"

u sound like u get paid for salesforce-pr

25k what? Salesforce had over 80k employees at the time of the layoffs.
Well all the numbers I've ever seen have been just shy of 80, and 8/80 = 10%, which is 2 digits. So there are two possibilities. One possibility, I guess, is that both your and parent are using some sort of counting system we'll call "base b" where 25 base b = 80 base 10 and in which 8/80 base b < 10% base b. The other, more likely, possibility is that you're intentionally under-stating the scale of the layoffs and being oddly defensive.

Enjoy your Salesforce stock grant, I guess ;-)

The base b here would be base 37.5 :)
8/25 is 32%, no?
25k is just what they hired during covid
They have better metrics than random anti-corporate HNer who is typically clueless about accounting, marketing, lead-gen?
Don't you think that the ppl deciding to hire like crazies just to fire a year later should be accountable for that? They're clearly making bad decisions. It's just that someone else is expected to pay for them.
How many financially bad decisions you made in 2022?

Did you buy real-estate in 20/21 when the mortgate rates were 2%? If you didn't that's a terrible decision. Did you take responsibility and fire yourself as the primary bread-winner for your family? Why not?

Did you buy any high-growth tech stocks in 2021? If you did, that was a terrible decision.

Any idiot can arm-chair hindsight decisions

> Did you buy real-estate in 20/21 when the mortgate rates were 2%? If you didn't that's a terrible decision.

Meh. Securing financing in 20/21 was great but buying in 20/21 was kind of terrible.

Everyone I know who bought during that time period is now stuck for 30 years because over-extended and took a bath on property value, and a lot of them are already regretting that choice as life returns to normal and they realize life in the outer suburbs is kind of miserable (especially as they RTO).

Conversely, refinancing and leveraging cheap cash in 20/21, building a pile of powder, and then waiting until 2023-2024 to buy looks like a much better move. At least in my local market, either prices are down significantly or the seller can't afford a lower price and the inventory just sits on the market.

Real Estate from 20/21 appreciated 20-30%. With leverage you'd see 100%-200% returns. You can always sell now and realize that gain. At the end of the day, however you look at it, it'll be one of the stupidest financial decision you've made and you should take responsibility for it
The 20-30% appreciation is in specific markets. Definitely not all markets. Several housing markets are already down from 20/21 highs and lots of markets are trending downward.

Again, securing financing in 20/21 was great but buying real estate at those prices wasn't great relative to alternatives.

If a mortgage was you only way to get leverage in 20/21 then you should've taken out a mortgage. But if you had other ways to get leverage at the lower rates -- eg taking out a line of credit on existing real estate or borrowing against assets -- other options have been performing better and especially over the next few years will continue performing much better.

What if it went the other way? The strategy you described is a silly gamble that could have resulted in bankruptcy. Read the book Fooled by Randomness by Nassim Taleb for a treatise on why your thinking is wrong.
> Did you buy real-estate in 20/21 when the mortgate rates were 2%? If you didn't that's a terrible decision.

You need to make a good decision and learn more about the fact that what you pay for an asset (which is fixed forever) is typically much more important than the loan rate (which can be refinanced at lower rates). Also, overpaying for a house is a trap that cannot be unloaded no matter what the interest rate without bringing cash to closing while underpaying allows for an easy sale no matter how high the interest rate.

Who said that they weren't accountable? It's not just entry level employees getting laid off, but also senior ones, managers and executives. Salesforce got rid of 3 out of their 4 CEOs this year.
Speaking here as an employee that was affected by layoffs in one of those companies that hired like crazy during the pandemic.

I see no problems in their behavior. The insane rate of hiring was useful to give a good boost to my salary in a couple of years.

Here's to hoping they go back at hiring like crazy again.

Those might be bad decisions for the employees, but those might be good decisions for the company.

Basically, scoop up talent while you can, then cut the lowest performers. It's basically the last step in a thorough interview process.

If you've ever worked somewhere where there's been layoffs, you'll know that of the remaining employees, all of the best people immediately start looking for jobs elsewhere. If management is so incompetent that they overhired or underperformed bad enough to lay people off, the writing is on the wall to jump ship. It can take years to repair the motivational and cultural damage caused by a layoff. Especially when paired with "soft" layoff behavior like mandating RTO and "performance" management.
I've definitely been through some layoffs where most employees said good riddance and moved on with life immediately, so I think there is definitely some variations in morale response.

It is one thing if the layoffs are at a startup running out of money, and another if layoffs are at a profitable company

Where is this magical "elsewhere" part where there would be no layoffs?

It's mind-boggling that we have raised a generation of people who are absolutely clueless about "Cost-of-Capital". It is worse than people not understanding democracy

> Where is this magical "elsewhere" part where there would be no layoffs?

Any company with competent management. That includes not cargo culting layoffs while turning a blind eye to the damage they cause to a company.

> It's mind-boggling that we have raised a generation of people who are absolutely clueless about "Cost-of-Capital". It is worse than people not understanding democracy

What's mind-boggling is that people think the cost savings from a layoff happens in a vacuum. There are definitely repercussions in terms of loss of productivity, increased employee churn, brand damage, increased difficulty hiring in the future, loss of operational knowledge...

Layoff are a sign of mismanagement. That has nothing to do with the "cost-of-capital".

That's not what Salesforce did. They cut longterm and high-performing employees, and we still have freshly hired randoms who know nothing.
Those people should be accountable for that, sure. But Matthew McConaughey isn't accountable for that. We don't know the terms of his contract -- just that his contract was better than that of at-will employees (which, of course it was. The contracts for executives are also better than those of at-will employees...that's how this works) -- and we don't know what all was included as part of it.

But even if paying a celebrity $10 million for endorsements is a bad decision (and we don't know if it is or if it isn't -- it's probably a wash, as most marketing expenditures like this are), that decision is unrelated to why 8,000 people were laid off.