| Alright, I spent years working and building 0-1 insurance products. Let me peel back some stuff that’s been happening behind the scenes. Some officials are elected and some are appointed which all depends on the state. Appointed officials are usually more reasonable and elected are not because higher rates = mad voters = re-election chances lower. For a long time, insurers have struggled to get sufficient rate changes approved. A literal quote for you during Covid was, “Son, I’m looking out my window at downtown {city} and I don’t see many cars on the road. We won’t approve the rate increases.” This was with actual data of losses increasing due to supply chain disruption of auto parts, labor increases and many more things. We basically had to write policies and hope for the best despite knowing the data / trend lines forecasting major losses. Fast-forward and what do you have - major losses by all of these companies - and so these companies have two choices:
- Try to get rate approvals
- Exit the market or line of insurance For California, the latter is the better option because at least for auto you cannot use credit, telematics or other very predictive attributes to price the risk. This results in essentially pooled risk which in aggregate drives up rates for all. Simply put, California officials did this to themselves. For other states, the first option works but the rate increases are now significantly higher because it was near impossible to get any adequate rate increases last few years. So, the bill has come due and it sucks for everyone as it’s either a) higher prices or b) can’t get insurance (Florida folks for certain types) or c) limited suppliers not being able to get reinsurance to share the risk results in higher rates that customers can’t afford so they go without. |
https://assets.ctfassets.net/nnc41duedoho/BNR4qtOTGPJuyQADtK...
I wonder if the difference was largely because of Canada's more strict lock downs. The roads were nearly dead here for quite awhile.