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by thismyrealone 2448 days ago
It just feels like the various streaming services are morphing into everything that we hated about cable television.
8 comments

There are differences: no commercials, shows on demand, more shows, and higher quality (arguably) shows. Additionally, it’s possible to just subscribe to the one service you really like because they all have a lot of content.
> no commercials

Anyone who watches Hulu has heard "will play with a commercial before and after the show". Hulu has been increasing the number of ads they include. It used to be ad free for many shows. Then they went to 30 second ads. Now they're stuffing 180 seconds or more on many shows.

> higher quality (arguably) shows

Definitely arguable. My feeling is the quality is going down quite a bit, but I think that's because the demand for content volume has increased (in the era of binge watching, a single TV series is started and over in one weekend).

> Additionally, it’s possible to just subscribe to the one service you really like because they all have a lot of content.

This might be true now. But there are multiple high profile streaming services launching in the next year (e.g. Disney+), which is prompting Disney to pull all content off other platforms.

> Definitely arguable. My feeling is the quality is going down quite a bit, but I think that's because the demand for content volume has increased (in the era of binge watching, a single TV series is started and over in one weekend).

Which is sad because there are plenty of better things to do than TV. I love shows as much as the next person, but if streaming really does morph back into Cable, I will just end up watching little to no TV and pirating anything I must see, which is rare. I'm already most of the way there anyhow. Life's too short for modern brainwashing via advertising. Vegetation is death.

Quitting TV may exactly be what people need
Ever since I started paying for Hulu years ago, I have not seen a single ad while watching it.
A few shows still have ads even with the paid option. I know Grey's Anatomy is (or was at one time) one of them, but I believe there are a few others.
Every time I’ve looked it’s fewer shows, though - last I checked it was only 3. They were popular ones but nothing I had any interest in, so I switched from Netflix (I was done waiting for them to let me turn off that horrid auto-preview misfeature) and I have never once seen an ad on Hulu.
FWIW, the Hulu package associated with the Disney+ option is not the "commercial free" package. So you'll have to pay a bit more with the Disney+ to retain your ad-free experience on Hulu.
Disney+ will be that one service for a lot of people. And the places they are pulling from will still have a lot to watch, e.g., people who like Netflix shows could still only subscribe to Netflix. I’m not saying that people will only subscribe to one service, just that they could get away with one $5-15/mo payment and have more good stuff to watch than they have time for, on demand. That’s really different than cable.

Ad tiers of streaming services are really cheap (approaching zero over time), so if we are looking at those, then the cost of a bunch of them is less than cable equivalent and don’t need to be better (even though they are.)

I’m pretty excited for the Disney+Hulu bundle. That and the content I get from my Prime membership (not to mention the ability to rent the odd movie/show from Amazon) is pretty close to everything I want.

Marvel/Disney/Star Wars/Simpsons... I’m good for awhile.

> no commercials

And yet Amazon Prime insists on showing me ads for their other shows before I can watch the one I actually tapped on to watch. Or the next episode of the show I'm watching. It really diminishes the value a lot.

Amazon's streaming platform feels like being at a used car lot, lots of dark patterns trying to get you to buy or rent, steering you away from included content.

I vastly prefer the experience of Netflix.

On my TV and Chromecast the audio is also not in sync with the video. The user experience in regards to currently watched TV shows is extremely weird and I have to search them all the time with my TV remote on a bad, full-sized on-screen keyboard.

Prime Video simply feels like a bad Chinese knockoff of Netflix.

HBO does the same thing, for every single episode you watch.
It only shows ads on programs that aren't theirs which is even now nefarious.
Hulu shows commercials even if you pay.

I'm sure Netflix will start once revenue starts slipping.

Netflix shows commercials right now; they’re just commercials for other Netflix shows. I doubt they’ll start selling the post-roll space to third parties, though, as it’s evidently more profitable for them to use that space to keep you subscribing to the service than to make a few cents for an ad placement.

As for cable-style interstitial commercials, though, the only way I could see Netflix ever doing that is if the company were to enter a Blockbuster-level tailspin. It would be selling off the core Netflix experience just to stay afloat.

It bothers me how many people think I’m psychotic when I express this opinion. Frankly, I don’t care whose content they are promoting - SOMEONE please put a fucking price tag on a service that plays exactly the content I select AND NOTHING ELSE.

Stupid semantic arguments about whether it is an ad are not are completely irrelevant to the fact that I don’t want to see content I did not pick.

> Hulu shows commercials even if you pay.

Hulu has literally half a dozen old shows that they are contractually required to show an ad in front of or take down entirely. The vast, vast majority of users on the service will never see one.

It's a very different scenario to a company actively looking to increase advertising.

Hulu does offer an ad-free tier, it's like double the cost of the basic plan. I haven't sprung for it yet, but I'm sorely tempted.

I can see Netflix looking to a similar model in the future. What are they at now, $12.99? I can see the current base subscription going to $14.99, while simultaneously launching an ad-supported version priced around $7.99.

Edit: Netflix actually DOES offer a cheaper $8.99 plan currently. This one is restricted to one screen at a time, and does not offer content in HD. So if they stuck ads on it, maybe they could bring the price down to like $5.99.

YouTube 30 second preroll ads cost currently around $ 7 per 1000 views and it's decreasing. So to take Netflix from $ 14.99 to $ 7.99 per month they would have to show you around 500 minutes of ads every month. That's 33 of those 30 seconds ads every day, without skipping a day. While you still pay $ 7.99 per month as well. I don't expect consumers will accept that.

So the only way they can make an ad-supported Netflix work is to create some form of much more effective ad (which usually means taking more of your data) or attract a very specific high value audience (makes them too much of a niche player for their size)

Premium video ads sell at much higher CPM than YouTube. Hulu makes more money from users on their "with-ads" tier than on the higher-priced "ad-free" tier.
I think a lot of people refuse to pay for an "ad-free" tier that still insists on occasionally showing ads, feels scummy.
They could mess around with the amount of ad time per program and the plan price.

I think Hulu is showing at least 5 minutes of ads per 22 minute program, so watching two hours of programming would exceed the ad time you mentioned. This is reasonable for a single day, but a high bar for a daily average.

Nahh... they'd just make the cheaper product obnoxiously time wasteful so most people upgrade. It doesn't have to stand on its own.
I pay for the ad-free tier but I still get ads for their live streaming service (and for their DVR, every commercial break gets replaced with 3 minutes of non-fastforwardable commercial content), which is why I'm probably going to stop using their streaming service. I really only wanted it for sports channels anyway.
I think this must be show-dependent. I, too, pay for the ad-free tier, and the most ad-like thing I've seen is a 2- or 3-second Family Guy is returning on <date> and a FOX logo interstitial at the start of streaming an episode of Family Guy. Can't recall seeing anything else across a number of shows.
It seems to be network/show-dependent. The ad-free package removes all the ads that Hulu shows, but if Fox has ads of their own they're still in there. I usually get a single FX show promo in every Simpsons episode I watch.
I have no idea. Sports events tend to be hours long, and every commercial break has these. You can technically skip a few minutes ahead, but then you miss part of the game.
Netflix already does, they have pretty obvious product placement.
Julian's glass of rum and coke in trailer park boys? Is that reason why I always have the urge for a glass of rum and coke when I watch tpb?
I feel like this is some sort of maxim/law: Its inevitable that any product which currently does not include ads will eventually include ads.
Advertising is a disease, it infects and corrupts everything it touches. Often it starts when a company realizes it's another revenue stream, and adds commercials to a product people already pay for. And when there are competitors, this lets a company undercut them.
In 100 years, we'll look back in horror at the thought of showing advertisements to children.
Well, that will be the moment I leave Netflix.
If we’re talking subscription tiers with commercials, the cost per month for a bunch of services is much cheaper than cable equivalent.
Netflix starts rolling commercials the minute you open the website or app
Netflix has experimented with it. They do product placement still, but the show disjointed has plain commericals. They are a tad unusual for commercials, in that they share the theme of the show.
When the content and the advertisement have fully meshed, only then does one reach true nirvana.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=b9hepxidZyo

This is what I had in mind when I wrote that comment, but 30 rock was a great show.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HvsTKbGKtbU

> no commercials

No, but instead a pretty bad attempts at suggesting content because you happen once to watch xyz out of no reason.

> more shows

If you live in country that happens to have license agreements done well - there's still lot of content I am unable to see on Netflix in Poland because someone holds license rights for the show or movie. I'd like to see older movies, tv series - things I grow up with but instead I'm being constantly flooded with new stuff that I'm not fond of (not mention that damn autoplay preview in "header" part of Netflix in both site and applications; I really wish there would be a way to disable that "feature").

> no commercials, shows on demand, more shows, and higher quality (arguably) shows.

Ohh you sweet summer child... Cable was the same way when it launched. Everyone knows how this ends.

The history is quite different, the biggest difference being that there is (effectively) no geographical impediment to selling a streaming service, allowing for much more competition. Additionally, global scale allows budgets for much more content production per service/media company than used to be possible.
There's no need to be so unnecessarily condescending. Customers are used to the ad-free model and will be unlikely to accept a return to the 1/3 ads 2/3 content model of cable without significant customer attrition, which streaming services can ill afford in the current competitive landscape.
What competitive landscape? They're only competing with piracy. Movies and TV shows are mostly non-substitutable, so you almost always have a choice only between a) whichever streaming platform has an exclusive deal on streaming a given show, b) buying physical disks, and c) piracy.
Streaming services are competing with each other, even more aggressively when Disney+ appears on the scene and takes half of Netflix's content. The streaming service with no ads is going to win over the streaming service that has cable-level of ads, unless the show is so good to overwhelm that.
After using Netflix for so long, the quantity of ads on even the paid form of Hulu is unpleasant and I avoid it, will not be renewing.
There are commercials on all of the "cable replacement" steaming services. I use YouTube TV and it's worse than cable. They prevent me from watching my DVR content for certain content, instead forcing me to watch the "on demand" version with unskippable ads. Comcast/Xfinity DVR never did that. The only real benefit is that it's slightly cheaper and supports multiple "profiles".
> There are commercials on all of the "cable replacement" steaming services.

No commercials on Netflix.

I"m sure they do product placement and other marketing stuff, though.

Netflix is not a "cable replacement" streaming service. Those services are the so-called VMVPDs such as PS Vue, DirecTV Now, SlingTV, YouTube TV, etc. The key characteristic of these services that differentiates them from Netflix is that they have some coverage of live TV, local TV, and/or sports.
Satellite service has, in the past, failed at local TV - but most folks view that as a cable replacement.

And like others have said, people are using Netflix to replace cable - and as such, it is a cable replacement. It isn't difficult to get some live news from major services (BBC, for example) or get some local news from local sources. I don't know much about sports as I've never really watched them - but I know in some places, you need a fairly special cable package to have good access and that sometimes, a disagreement between the networks and the cable company will keep them from you. Using sports as a marker seems pretty flimsy.

> Netflix is not a "cable replacement" streaming service.

Except that some people are replacing their cable with Netflix. So it is, in fact, a "cable replacement" for those people.

Perhaps the cable industry doesn't define them as so, but Netflix is absolutely is a cable replacement for many consumers.
Many people cancel cable and don't subscribe to anything, and decide to read books instead, but we wouldn't call "nothing" or "reading books" a "cable replacement service"...

From the GP's comment, it's clear that the reference was to actual "cable replacement services."

The parent comment is about "streaming services" not just Netflix.
Yeah and you said "all" of them have ads. Netflix doesn't, so clearly they don't all have ads.
All of the "cable replacement" streaming services" - I should have been more clear.
DirecTV did this on their cable boxes for a few channels. I would schedule a show to record, and it would record the show during the air time to the hard drive. While the show was playing it would play off the hard drive. When the show cut to an ad break, the cable box would connect to the internet to show an unskippable ad.

I'll admit this was only on a few networks and maybe only certain programs, but overall it was a pretty poor experience.

The difference this time is that there's no artificial limit on content volume. In other words a tv channel can only deliver 24 hours of content a day, a streaming service can deliver an unbounded amount. This is going to change the dynamics severely I think.
With Comcast cable TV we had a rather large "on demand" library of content. Almost every network offered their content in this manor.
There's been one great outcome of this: me discovering my city's library. It has an incredible film and tv collection. Anything newer than 2016 is also on Blu Ray. If you're a big cinephile like me, having thousands of free rentals at you're disposal is like being a kid in a candy store. Plus, hundreds of Criterion Collection editions for us film buffs.
Even worse! There's a factiod tv in my office building's elevators, and one of the news items it showed was Comcast was shipping its customers a Roku-like streaming device. The catch? It won't work with Disney Plus. There have been various wars on other devices (Chromecast/Apple TV/Fire) where certain streaming channels don't work.

We got a la cart purchase power. Now we just need to bring our own devices for each service.

I've been a long time Roku fan, and for now it can stream everything I want (though there was a time where I needed a Chromecast to get YouTube). When will the battling streaming services change that though?

This. Cable television at least has bundling economics going for it [1]. In most cases, streaming services don't. (Save, perhaps, for the forthcoming Disney+ bundle with ESPN+ and Hulu.)

[1]: http://cdixon.org/2012/07/08/how-bundling-benefits-sellers-a...

I'm having a hard time understanding the argument being made in that article. If I only want the History channel, then paying for the bundle means I'm paying for a channel I don't want. Given that I only want about 20 channels that my plan offers, but I have to pay for 500, I'm paying for a lot I have no use for. There's even a specific charge for sports channels that I have _never_ watched even once.
Well, why wouldn't it? Cable TV's various irritations occurred because of the economics of their business; at the end of the day, they want to get paid too.

Now that streaming has gone from experimental status to mainstream adoption status, it now has the same pressures to deliver profits above all else. What is the customer going to do, go back to cable TV?

The cable industry spent decades discovering the absolute maximum value they could extract from the consumer.

Netflix/Hulu have become successful in part because they undercut cable with lower subscription fees and fewer commercials.

It makes sense that once streaming becomes the dominent mode of television consumption, with traditional cable pushed out, that they begin to adopt some of the more aggressive value extraction mechanisms as did traditional cable service.

I predict the same will happen, or perhaps it's already beginning to happen, with Amazon in the retail sector (Amazon is providing more value for less money compared with traditional retail, which is causing retail chains to close shop, which will lead Amazon to discover new ways to extract new value once brick/mortar chains are gone and no longer competing).

But, that is capitalism.

> It just feels like the various streaming services are morphing into everything that we hated about cable television.

Why is that?

For years, I heard people saying "I just wish I could get ala carte cable". Well, the future is now.

How is this ala carte? they meant specific shows, or in some cases specific channels. Not just "this random conglomerate's licensed properties"
There's a few products or there that do just this. Not a lot, but one or two.
Not exactly. Being able to choose "Netflix" is a lot different than choosing a specific channel which is what people were referring to at the time.
It's still closer to it than cable was. And people hate it.
> Well, the future is now.

Really? How can I buy the shows & movies I want and literally nothing else?

What? You've been able to do that for a long time on Itunes, Google play, and Amazon. You have also been able to buy individual tv shows and movie physical copies at stores for decades.
>and literally nothing else

Why is this a need? The minimum unit you can purchase is a month of service. You are free to subscribe and unsubscribe as many times as you want. I'm not aware of a single service that costs more than either a single movie theater ticket or a single newly released Blu-ray/DVD. So you are free to subscribe to HBO watch Game of Thrones, cancel HBO, subscribe to Netflix, watch BoJack Horseman, cancel Netflix, subscribe to Amazon, watch Marvelous Mrs Maisel, cancel Amazon, and so on. That is much more control and choice than cable subscribers had a decade ago. We don't need to make perfect the enemy of the good.

Services such as Google Play, iTunes, Vudu, Amazon ("non-Prime") Video, Fandango, etc., satisfy this use case, at least in certain geographies.
iTunes works OK for me :P
Try it on Windows. Or in an unsupported device. Or anywhere they don't want you to see it. You own nothing with digital. It's a long term rental. Also try passing it along when you die.
Try passing along a vinyl or CD or VHS or DVD collection when you die. See how fast it ends up at a flea market, or on the curb waiting for the trash truck. ALL digital goods are ephemeral one way or the other, unless you're an actual archivist. That's why archivists are important as their own discipline.
Nah, a lot of people actually do maintain vinyl/DVD collections. CD/VHS sure they may discard but that's because those forms of distribution were inherently flawed and degrade much quicker - VHS tapes stretch out, CDs get scratched up like crazy.
iTunes has worked on Windows since 2003. If you buy a movie on iTunes from one of the five studios that support Movies Anywhere, you can port your purchase to Amazon, Google? Or Vudu v
With digital you own a license to an intangible good you can view on multiple devices.

The license generally does pass along with your purchase account when you die.

It is not yours. The only reason I ever buy digital products is because I'm prepared to pirate them back if the service is yanked off of me.