Hacker News new | ask | show | jobs
by Morromist 59 days ago
China had more births in 2025 than all of europe and russia combined so I don't think they're going to run out of soldiers.
4 comments
marcus_holmes 59 days ago
The more important fact is that China makes all the drones
link
LanceJones 59 days ago
But also more deaths. It's the delta that's important.
link
vasco 59 days ago
Old people don't go to war, how is that important. All that matters is who has the most 20 year olds they don't care about killing.
link
phtrivier 58 days ago
The births of 2025 will be the warriors of 2050. By then, a bunch of those will be needed to, you know, run things around the country. It's clear that China is going to use tech (as in, artificial wombs, neural implants for optimized beaurocracy, and plenty of robots.)

My big question is:

- will they keep the human bodies warm to care for the elderly, and send robots to war ?

- will they keep the robots to take care of the elderly, and send the young's to war ?

- will they dispose f the elderly to keep their edge ?

- will they play long and wait things out ?

link
AlecSchueler 58 days ago
> China needs to invade Taiwan

> It's clear that China is going to use tech

I hear this all the time but the invasion never seems to come. Is it just western projection at this point?

link
phtrivier 58 days ago
It's not "western projection" to say that China _wants_ to get Taiwan at some point.

https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cj94y87k2ljo

Given how the "peaceful" way failed in the last few decades, it's not insane to assume they might try a good old fashion invasion at some point.

From what I understand (as in "from what William Spaniel says"), given the weather constraints, it's something to look at closely every April and October. Seems like we're good for this April (which was not a given - attacking while the US is wasting ammunition in the Middle-East must surely have been tempting..)

link
AlecSchueler 58 days ago
What do you want me to take from your BBC article? Their mutual and explicit commitments to peace?

> it's something to look at closely every April and October. Seems like we're good for this April

So the rationale for the belief is that a specific American scholar says it. And what he says is "it could happen any time but so far we've always been lucky."

Honestly without any actual reasoning or evidence to back that up it's difficult to take it any more seriously than a tarot reading.

The invasion of Greenland seems much more likely.

link
mjcohen 59 days ago
If you believe them.
link