Given how the "peaceful" way failed in the last few decades, it's not insane to assume they might try a good old fashion invasion at some point.
From what I understand (as in "from what William Spaniel says"), given the weather constraints, it's something to look at closely every April and October. Seems like we're good for this April (which was not a given - attacking while the US is wasting ammunition in the Middle-East must surely have been tempting..)
What do you want me to take from your BBC article? Their mutual and explicit commitments to peace?
> it's something to look at closely every April and October. Seems like we're good for this April
So the rationale for the belief is that a specific American scholar says it. And what he says is "it could happen any time but so far we've always been lucky."
Honestly without any actual reasoning or evidence to back that up it's difficult to take it any more seriously than a tarot reading.
https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cj94y87k2ljo
Given how the "peaceful" way failed in the last few decades, it's not insane to assume they might try a good old fashion invasion at some point.
From what I understand (as in "from what William Spaniel says"), given the weather constraints, it's something to look at closely every April and October. Seems like we're good for this April (which was not a given - attacking while the US is wasting ammunition in the Middle-East must surely have been tempting..)