[oblio]

The age argument doesn't seem to be holding up since cancer rates are growing for younger people:

https://edition.cnn.com/2023/08/16/health/early-onset-cancer...

Better screening could be a factor.

Also, population growth doesn't matter for a *rate*.

[dwaite]

> Also, population growth doesn't matter for a rate.

You cited cases, not a rate.

[oblio]

Europe's population (and EU's, if you compare the sum of current member state populations) is basically flat since 1995.

Ergo the increase in cases means an increase in rate.

[sneak]

If growth (ie the first derivative) is flat (which means a steady rate of increase) then an increase of cases does not mean an increase in rate.

[oblio]

Thank you for the 10th grade math lesson, I've edited my previous comment.