| There's a huge leap taken by this piece with distressing casualness. "This action effectively means the $250,000 FDIC limit is meaningless: all deposits in any bank are presumably insured by the full faith and credit of the United States." Exceptional circumstances sometimes call for exceptional measures. A bank with 85% of its accounts over the $250k limit where most of the depositors are contractually locked-in companies is not normal. Moreover the contagion nucleus in this network were a few culpable super-spreaders with exceptional power. Other banks don't face that threat either. Banking policy must be written to include exceptional circumstances, but the idea that all banking policy needs to be rewritten to burden smaller banks with situational precautions which are impossible for them to encounter is dangerous idiocy. Don't write housing codes that require 9.0 earthquake tolerance in areas primarily hit by hurricanes! Furthermore it's dispiriting to see generous tit-for-tat given such a cynical portrayal. If two people have knives to each others throats you don't win by just not being the first to cut, you win by putting the knives down. This situation was exceptional, and the panic was triggered by people with outsized network influence who should have known better. So maybe, just maybe, we deal with the reality of the situation rather than assuming it must be a harbinger of total change. |
Strictly speaking there are 4 outcomes, according to John Nash. The cooperate outcome is globally the best, but the 2 defect outcomes are much better for the individual winner. The 4th outcome, 'they fought and badly wounded each other, but both lived', is what's going on here, and the FDIC medics are coming in. This helps now but has the perverse effect of increasing the chances of defect behavior in the future, IMHO.
The angle I want to know more about is Peter Thiel. He's already demonstrated the willingness and ability to execute complex plans to destroy enemies (e.g. Gawker). He likes Trump, so not a fan of self-restraint or basic morality. Is it possible that Thiel has a bone to pick with SVB? Or maybe it's bigger, and Thiel, who famously hates competition, saw a way to hurt ALL startups, including some that might one day threaten him and his businesses. It's the old story about the orphan who makes it, recognizes the positive influence the orphanage had on his success, and then burns the orphanage down to ensure no others get its benefits and challenge his power.