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by nonidentified 2260 days ago
Speaking as an economist, I tend to get nervous when other economists talk about circumstances where "morality trumps economics." As a profession, we have a miserable track record on morality. Economists widely endorsed eugenics in the first half of the 20th century, for example. And many modern economists endorse a minimum wage, as eugenicists did then, but with even less regard for the harm it causes. Personally, I find it hard to entertain an economist's morality argument unless it goes something like, "We shouldn't do that because it could harm people."

In this article, The Economist is telling governments to force companies to produce "large supplies at fixed prices". Even if governments had that kind of authority in free countries, and they probably don't, that sounds like a policy that could easily cause harm. Companies can't just push one lever to maximum and expect nothing else to change. But most importantly, we don't need it. Yes, we've seen some small-time punks buy up too much hand sanitizer, but the big manufacturers are being decent. As The Economist pointed out, "3M, one of the world’s biggest manufacturers of high-end masks ... has stuck to its list prices and doubled its production." So there's not very good empirical or theoretical support for this idea. But there's hope for economists - "more than half" of economists surveyed about this idea criticized it.

9 comments

> And many modern economists endorse a minimum wage, as eugenicists did then, but with even less regard for the harm it causes.

You are comparing the moral stance of supporting eugenics with the moral stance of supporting a minimum wage? Are those just the first two random moral stances taken by economists that you recall, or are you trying to color the perception the latter with the true horror of the former?

Eugenics had wide scientific support; it wasn't a horror when they proposed it.

A seriously high minimum wage ($100,000/year for example; no other policy changes) would probably lead to a period of horror and mass unemployment. Possibly famine, I don't know what would happen if it no longer made economic sense to employ people to transport food around. Maybe they are already high earners, what do I know.

A minimum wage is saying "this work isn't worth doing if you can't justify paying someone $minimum". That isn't a morally positive or morally negative position without more information. And it is certainly not more morally sound than "we should be proactive in making sure that children are born with the best chance at life" which is the positive spin on eugenics.

Economists should not be making moral arguments. They get them wrong too readily.

Other people think the concept of price controls is tied to morals when it comes to minimum wages.

When you consider our democratic system it becomes pretty obvious. You need slightly more than 50% of the votes. So the minimum wage is picked so that at least 50% of the population earns more than it. Therefore by definition a minimum wage chosen by politicians is going to set it to a really low value that will then be associated with poorer people. Therefore the minimum wage gains a reputation of helping poorer people.

But at the end of the day it's just a price control. Minimum wage has nothing to do with morals. It's just a rule that says who can or can't have a job. It doesn't actually give people a minimum wage job. You can set it high or low. If it is too low then it does nothing. If it is too high then it prevents people from getting a job. The minimum wage must always follow the market, because the market won't follow the minimum wage.

I used to believe this, back in the 80s I was a true Thatcherite believer. I still largely am, but some of the things I believed back then have turned out to be false, and the dire economic impact of minimum ages seems to have turned out to be one of them. This is why Conservative governments in the UK have been carefully ratcheting up the minimum wage here over the last decade or so.

A feared employment apocalypse at the low end has stubbornly refused to appear, at minimum wage levels that would have been considered reckless not long ago, and it's proved a useful policy coup neutralising a key Labour campaigning point.

> Eugenics had wide scientific support; it wasn't a horror when they proposed it.

But it is a horror now that we've seen a few genocides, which is why it shouldn't be compared to something of a completely different kind, like the minimum wage.

Instead, compare it to wars - which are far closer in terms of the harms they cause - and have also received moral support from economists.

> A seriously high minimum wage ($100,000/year for example; no other policy changes) would probably lead to a period of horror and mass unemployment.

This is reductio ad absurdum, since the min wage wouldn't go that high without major structural and contextual changes in the society and economy.

In the case of eugenics, we don't need to conjure such wild hypotheses about what would happen, because we've repeatedly seen what happens when that idea is carried to it's extreme by governments.

> Speaking as an economist

> As a profession, we have a miserable track record on morality.

You can't say they didn't warn you!

> Speaking as an economist, I tend to get nervous when other economists talk about circumstances where "morality trumps economics."

Some examples where morality trumps economics that might help to calm you:

- Child labour is illegal in the civilized world

- Slavery is illegal in all or most countries (despite slave labour being more, um, economical than paid labour)

- Emergency services like fire, police, paramedics don't demand payment up-front.

> Companies can't just push one lever to maximum and expect nothing else to change.

They should expect profits to fall. That can happen during a pandemic. Act of God and all that.

> But most importantly, we don't need it. Yes, we've seen some small-time punks buy up too much hand sanitizer, but the big manufacturers are being decent.

And we should gamble our lives on the continued decency of profit-maximizing corporations.

In many countries, child labor wasn't banned because of moral reasons, it was banned as an anti-competitive measure against un-mechanized factories.

Slavery was enforced (and subsidized) by many governments; it wasn't exactly a creature of the free market. Segregation was similar. Indentured servitude may be a different matter, though it brings up some more complicated questions.

"Not demanding payment up front" has nothing to do with morality; I've gone to many nice restaurants where they didn't charge me up front, and they weren't doing it because they were saints. The history of fire-fighting is also interesting, as it was private for quite some time in many places; insurance companies don't like buildings burning down.

You say that companies should expect profits to fall, but do you expect the companies to drive themselves into the ground (thus leaving their employees unemployed) in an attempt to do a little to help? Most companies spend about 50% of their revenue on labor, and have a profit of less than five percent. That means that a 10% increase in labor costs (think overtime) means they make no money, so they really can't afford to reduce their margins much, and remain an extant firm.

You say we shouldn't gamble our lives on the continued decency of for-profit corporations, but I have more confidence in their ethics than those of the common man. As we saw with toilet paper (and hand sanitizer), the average person will hoard anything they are afraid will not be available tomorrow. Companies have shown more restraint in this crisis and others.

> Slavery was enforced (and subsidized) by many governments; it wasn't exactly a creature of the free market.

Chicken or egg. You can make this argument either way. The fact is that slavery has been around for a lot longer than the governments that "enforced" it and it eventually took governments to abolish it completely.

> As we saw with toilet paper (and hand sanitizer), the average person will hoard anything they are afraid will not be available tomorrow. Companies have shown more restraint in this crisis and others.

Luckily in a well functioning democracy it would not be the toilet paper hoarders that'd be charged with coming up with ethical legislation.

It's not either or. Legislation doesn't solve everything, but neither does a completely free market (which doesn't and couldn't exist anyway).

> In many countries, child labor wasn't banned because of moral reasons, it was banned as an anti-competitive measure against un-mechanized factories.

OK, then child soldiers. Or chemical weapons. Pretty much anything outlawed by the Geneva Convention–all economical ways to wage wars, trumped by morality. Not as anti-competitive measures against killer robots.

> I've gone to many nice restaurants where they didn't charge me up front,

Restaurants also typically don't risk their lives for you, so not really relevant.

> You say that companies should expect profits to fall,

That's what I said.

> but do you expect the companies to drive themselves into the ground (thus leaving their employees unemployed) in an attempt to do a little to help?

That's not what I said. It helps if you stick to what I actually said.

> Most companies spend about 50% of their revenue on labor, and have a profit of less than five percent.

We're not talking about most companies. We're talking about big industrial PPE manufacturers like 3M, which reported net income of about $5b dollars in 2018, and because of accounting tricks,[1] probably under-reported their income. They have a profit margin of about 50% for at least the past five years.[2]

> That means that a 10% increase in labor costs (think overtime)

We're not talking about a uniform, across-the-board 10% increase in labour costs, we're talking about targeted cost increases specifically for PPE manufacture.

> they really can't afford to reduce their margins much, and remain an extant firm.

Based on the actually relevant numbers, it looks like they'll be just fine.

[1] https://www.forbes.com/sites/greatspeculations/2020/02/26/hi...

> You say we shouldn't gamble our lives on the continued decency of for-profit corporations, but I have more confidence in their ethics than those of the common man.

I'm just curious, who do you think makes up these for-profit corporations, some kind of special saints? As opposed to 'common' people?

[2] https://ycharts.com/companies/MMM/gross_profit_margin

Your penultimate point doesn't address that this isn't about expectations. It's asking companies to actively cause their own profits to fall. Raw material prices are being bid up - but even assuming you fix those prices somehow - you can't price fix labor prices while scaling up. Most production companies can't scale without running OT or hiring new employees, both of which will drive cost-per-unit up significantly. In a competitive industry, it's not crazy to think the difference between profitable and unprofitable is less than the increase cost of overtime pay.

3M may be large enough and have enough similar production lines that they can shift production around and still make a marginal profit on the scaled up production, but that's not a given. Smaller companies or more specialized ones would have to decide to increase production to their own detriment. Some might do that out of goodwill, but your last point correctly calls that out for the gamble it is.

> Smaller companies or more specialized ones would have to decide to increase production to their own detriment. Some might do that out of goodwill, but your last point correctly calls that out for the gamble it is.

There is no gamble here. Maybe you're misunderstanding the article but again here is what it says:

> Ordering large supplies at fixed prices is the right policy.

Emphasis: ordering is the suggested policy. Not forcing companies to fill orders. Companies able to fill those orders will do it because those are the only orders that make sense for their scale. Small companies unable to ramp up production will produce what they can and fill smaller orders that make sense for their scale.

Slavery isn’t a good example because that requires government enforcing the ability for people to own people as property.
That makes no sense. People can enslave others without any "government" being involved, and they have done so for thousands of years. The people enslaving the others just need bigger weapons so the slaves cannot revolt.

Government can prevent people from being enslaved. But without a government being involved, slavery will still happen. In fact, it will happen much more often as is evidenced by the fact that modern day slavery happens primarily in countries where governments are not powerful enough to stop it.

> Speaking as an economist, I tend to get nervous when other economists talk about circumstances where "morality trumps economics."

Krugman invokes Rawls:

> The classic argument here is, of course, that of Rawls, whose 1971 “A Theory of Justice” argued that we should evaluate social arrangements by imagining ourselves having to choose institutions and policy behind a “veil of ignorance”: what society would you prefer if you didn’t know who you would be?

* PDF: https://www.gc.cuny.edu/CUNY_GC/media/LISCenter/pkrugman/why...

* https://twitter.com/paulkrugman/status/1246432215422111745

I think economists have done pretty well overall. It got termed the "dismal science" for opposing slavery in the 19th century ("They'll be more productive if they get paid") and generally being against imperialism ("Can't we just trade with them?"), being against the corn laws, etc.

And if I go look at the Wikipedia page Eugenics in America[1] and read through the bios of the first few supporters I can find I get Francis Galton (Polymath uninvolved in economics), John Harvey Kellogg (Doctor), Charles Davenport (Biologist), Henry H. Goddard (Psychologist), Harry H. Laughlin (Sociologist), Madison Grant (Conservationist), Karl Pearson (Biostatistician), Alexander Graham Bell (Inventor), David Starr Jordan (Biologist), Luther Burbank (Botanist), and Margaret Sanger (Feminist).

I don't want to say that economists are blameless here. Henry Rogers Seager famously used eugenics as a reason for a minimun wage writing “The operation of the minimum wage requirement would merely extend the definition of defectives to embrace all individuals, who even after having received special training, remain incapable of adequate self-support.”

But overall it seems that when economists disagreed with the predominant intellectual milieu they've mostly been right and they've mostly only been badly wrong when they've followed along with it.

[1]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Eugenics_in_the_United_States

> And many modern economists endorse a minimum wage, as eugenicists did then, but with even less regard for the harm it causes.

What are the harms of a minimum wage? Do you have any empirical sources to back that up?

People whose labor is worth less than the minimum wage become unemployable. Being unemployed means you can’t acquire skills or experience and is bad for your mental health and social attachment.

If you want to look at the literature you can start with Card and Krueger, which shows minimal effects for a small minimum wage discontinuity, I believe on the NJ/NY border. The Seattle minimum wage study showed a reduction in hours and benefits and reduced likelihood of new entrants to the labor market. It’s an exciting example of people looking really hard for ways to confirm their priors on both sides.

Or you can look at Europe. Greater employment protections raise the price of employing someone leading to greater unemployment. Minimum wages do the same thing more explicitly. Businesses buy less of things that are more expensive.

> It’s an exciting example of people looking really hard for ways to confirm their priors on both sides.

It seems like you're doing that here yourself:

> The Seattle minimum wage study showed a reduction in hours and benefits and reduced likelihood of new entrants to the labor market.

https://ritholtz.com/2018/10/seattle-studys-shocking-conclus...

Minimum wage may have some complexities to be played out and examined, but to go back to the parent, the net harm here seems to be minimal at best, if not helpful over harmful, quite unlike how most feel about eugenics. That comparison, while criticizing the moral compass of economists generally, is quite something.

Is that article accurate? My understanding was that Seattle commissioned a multi-year study, and then when the results didn't go their way, quickly rushed a study out the door that said what they wanted. I got this from Marginal Revolution, and I can't find the article, but here is the actual study https://evans.uw.edu/policy-impact/minimum-wage-study and here is an MR article summarising the report: https://marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevolution/2017/06/se...

The first two points from MR:

> – The numbers of hours worked by low-wage workers fell by 3.5 million hours per quarter. This was reflected both in thousands of job losses and reductions in hours worked by those who retained their jobs.

> – The losses were so dramatic that this increase “reduced income paid to low-wage employees of single-location Seattle businesses by roughly $120 million on an annual basis.”

> My understanding was that Seattle commissioned a multi-year study, and then when the results didn't go their way, quickly rushed a study out the door that said what they wanted.

Do you have any source for that? Because the same author sets are on both studies. The article I linked to is directly criticizing the study you linked to (and also directly links to it).

Admittedly I am not a field expert and I haven't dived into the weeds on these studies. But my points I think aren't reliant on these details. The are simply:

1. There is much debate over if minimum wage laws or even specific implementations do more good or harm, which would seem contrary to the parent appearing to try to claim the harms as facts.

2. All of this seems to make the claim that the harm of eugenics is equal to minimum wage quite egregious.

I'm not trying to start a flame war over the details of viability of minimum wage here - I don't think that will be productive for anyone. I just want to underscore how egregious comparing minimum wage to eugenics is here.

> Do you have any source for that?

Found where I got it from: https://www.seattleweekly.com/news/seattle-is-getting-an-obj... I'm not American so no idea if this is accurate or not.

The problem with minimum wage is that there is no minimum wage guarantee by the state. The same problem applies to price controls of any kind. If nobody is willing to sell you a product that satisfies the price controls then you go home empty handed. If the rules are too strict and end up preventing the market from working then the government is to blame and the government has to step in and actually provide whatever nonsensical guarantee it made.

If the government wants to prevent you from getting a job that pays less than minimum wage it has to provide you with a job that actually does pay minimum wage.

> If the government wants to prevent you from getting a job that pays less than minimum wage it has to provide you with a job that actually does pay minimum wage.

I like this way of putting it. I'll use it in the future.

Similarly here, if the government wants to make it illegal to sell hand sanitizer at $5/bottle, they should provide hand sanitizer at $1/bottle.

> People whose labor is worth less than the minimum wage become unemployable. Being unemployed means you can’t acquire skills or experience and is bad for your mental health and social attachment.

Could being employed on a low wage also have it's own negative hedonic consequences? I suppose you have answered the question: 'What happens if you change this single lever of minimum wage in terms of employment?' But whether it is harmful also depends upon other government economic policy, specifically welfare. The trade-offs for minimum wage, in this light, don't exactly speak of how it is 'harmful' in an ethical sense, but it's specific effect on unemployment.

In terms of minimum wage and how it harms the economy, it would be interesting to know if a higher minimum wage has as effect on Economic Complexity and whether that would have a net benefit to an economy?

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economic_Complexity_Index

> People whose labor is worth less than the minimum wage become unemployable

Or you get into the awkward situation the US is in with immigrants working farming, janitorial, etc. jobs off the books with no protections.

This line of online questioning is the lazy dismissal of the 21st century. This comment has a positive score and even a child that agrees with it and yet it's akin to asking any theorist "do you have sources for that?" in response to them saying something wildly uncontroversial within their domain. It adds nothing to the discussion and only shows that the respondent is so wildly out of touch with the relevant mainstream that they're not worth answering because the challenge is going to be one of persuading them rather than informing them.

Minimum wage is a widely studied issue with well documented pros and cons. It's weaknesses, when addressed in isolation, are so well understood that most discussion at a high level on the topic is not whether it has pros/cons but what instruments it should be combined with to mitigate its cons (the mainstream answer is usually tax breaks of various kinds, often targeting the employee and not the employer.)

Would you ask a Gender Studies professor to defend the assertion that the feminine gender construct is typically defined by its submissive traits or would you ask how these observations are used to make observations and proposals about the real world?

Would you ask a mathematician their sources when they begin to explain linear algebra or would you ask questions that help to understand their perspective on the matter?

Hacker News supposedly has a rule against shallow comments and yet for some reason knee jerk requests for sources with no additional substance to drive the dialogue forward are considered 'reasonable'.

> Hacker News supposedly has a rule against shallow comments and yet for some reason knee jerk requests for sources with no additional substance to drive the dialogue forward are considered 'reasonable'.

Their statement begged the question, and it was asked.

I wasn't asking out of hostility, but out of curiosity. If the point can be made, and as you say, there is overwhelming evidence, I'd like the self-described expert of their field to provide an authoritative source. That's to the benefit of all readers.

Instead, we have a bunch of hand-wavey replies on both sides with dubious back-up, balanced with maybe a more illuminating discussion about the intersection of morality and economics, specifically regarding slavery and minorities - which I feel somewhat swayed by.

> Minimum wage is a widely studied issue with well documented pros and cons.

Throw us a bone then :) There are many countries around the world that do have a minimum wage, surely there's some data out there we can grok. Perhaps a minimum wage to quality-of-life measure? Inform this naive individual.

As far as I can tell from reading the (very well sourced) Wikipedia article on minimum wage, the general consensus amongst economists on the pros and cons is not at all what user "notidentified" to is claiming, and is backed up by plenty of actual studies.
> Hacker News supposedly has a rule against shallow comments and yet for some reason knee jerk requests for sources with no additional substance to drive the dialogue forward are considered 'reasonable'.

There's also a rule that you are aware of, having read the rules, about not creating throwaway accounts routinely. Though to be fair to you, it doesn't specifically say don't create a throwaway because you don't want to abuse other posters under your regular account.

That seems like a strange thing to do, though, when your side of the argument is "wildly uncontroversial".

The parent said unequivocally that minimum wage is a bad idea (and compared it to eugenics of all things), not that it has cons that need to be mitigated.

This is not an uncontroversial opinion, even among economists.

It is though. Most economists will advocate a mix of minimum wage and EITC (Earned income tax credit). Few will say that minimum wage by itself is a good thing and those that do will typically qualify it by saying that it's a good thing if you're only concerned with optimizing particular metrics, the persuit of which will likely have unintended consequences if chased with tunnel vision.
Again: parent said that minimum wage is a bad idea period, compared it with eugenics and added nothing else to clarify. They didn't say it's a bad idea if chased with tunnel vision, or that it's a bad idea if used in isolation (I don't think that statement even makes sense - having a minimum wage is always going to be one decision amongst the context of a lot of other decisions being made).

I am questioning the particular way they worded their comment, I thought I made that obvious.

They didn't actually compare it with eugenics though, they compared the nature of the discourse around eugenics to discourse around minimum wage with the penultimate point of explaining a mix of why/how they distrust economists, specifically economists, to handle discussions about ethics. They weren't making a direct comparison between the topics themselves and yet most of the replies are reacting as if they had, illustrating why these sorts of talks with laymen are bad ideas.
Wait, we haven’t talked about UBI yet.
Minimum wage puts a floor on the amount of value necessary for someone to be employable. Many people, especially those just starting out can't produce that much value.
The irony of this comment is that it is exactly missing the morality in an economic situation, the claim being that if you are capable of work and are trying your best, you deserve to have enough pay to live off of.

Minimum wage does not price people out of jobs, it puts a cap on the profit that a corporation can squeeze out of its workers. Employers who would be paying under it are simply not viable moral businesses, they would be businesses based off the exploitation of its workforce.

Now we can have economic arguments about what is true here, but the purpose of minimum wage today is a moral one and that must be factored in.

Here's a thought experiment for you. Think of college as a job. You go there, you do work, you get paid. The amount you get paid is negative because your productivity to the school is near zero and their cost of "employing" you requires them to have a lot of buildings and faculty etc. Yet people take on a lot of debt to be able to work as a student at a college, so they obviously perceive some value in it.

Should we prohibit colleges as "simply not viable moral businesses"?

Now suppose we have something which is halfway in between. The benefit to the institution is positive but small. You're doing productive work but it's only worth $4/hour. On the other hand, you're learning stuff and that's very valuable to you -- much more valuable than an $8/hour job where you're not learning anything. Should we prohibit this and not the school? Why?

The argument you're making requires that you are making a significant personal investment in yourself at that $4 an hour job, which I have yet to find such an example of. I'd be happy to hear about some.

Internships for lucrative fields where knowledge experience/investment pay off have no issues existing in economies with minimum wages as very clearly demonstrated by the fields of software engineering, businesses, and many other fields. Not to mention that most minimum wage laws make exceptions or reductions for internships, and people do unpaid internships often for things like PolySci students for political campaigns.

So, yes, we should continue to support internships that invest in people and we already regularly make such considerations in minimum wage laws. $4 an hour jobs in a place where $8 an hour is the minimum wage is not an example of an internship where you are going to learn something valuable, though I am open to hearing about these jobs. The cost of an intern is often far less the pay and much more the hours of those senior to them who would be teaching. Minimum wage is not standing in the way there.

Even if these jobs exist, what percentage of $4 jobs will those be? In reality this will be exploited by large corporations every time, pricing as low as the market will let them, irregardless of livability.

How would you expect to you hear of some when they're prohibited by law?

Try it like this. Federal minimum wage comes out to around $15,000/year. This is in the same ballpark as college tuition -- which is generally regarded as costing a lot of money. If you go to an institution where you're a novice and it takes half your hours to learn the trade and the other half is productive but effectively unskilled work for the employer, you would expect these two to net to approximately zero, right? So why is it at all unexpected that it would frequently net to a number which is slightly positive but less than minimum wage?

> Even if these jobs exist, what percentage of $4 job will be those?

Probably the large majority of them, because otherwise why would anybody take those jobs? They wouldn't be paying enough to attract employees unless they were offering something else of value that existing jobs with higher compensation don't have.

Corporations can't just offer to pay $0.25/hour and get a line of workers lining up at the door. They have to outbid other companies for labor. That's why most companies already pay more than minimum wage for most jobs. And it's why most of the jobs that would pay less than minimum wage are ones that offer the workers something else in its place -- education, more flexible hours, a shorter commute etc. Taking those options away makes peoples lives worse, not better.

> Minimum wage does not price people out of jobs,

Yes, it quite obviously does.

> it puts a cap on the profit that a corporation can squeeze out of its workers.

No, it doesn't. Competition does that. Minimum wage puts a floor on the economic value of labor that can get hired at all.

It might limit value extraction where there is a monopsony purchaser of labor who is not also a monopoly supplier of the good produced with that labor, but that's not actually all that common a situation.

> Employers who would be paying under it are simply not viable moral businesses

If there is work to be done that genuinely has value less than the minimum wage, is it truly better for society that the worker instead has no job prospects and the one who would have the work done instead has no work done? Who benefits from that.

> Now we can have economic arguments about what is true here, but the purpose of minimum wage today is a moral one and that must be factored in.

Any legitimate moral purpose of minimum wage is served better by taxing business income and high-end personal (including capital) income and providing a UBI as high as economic productivity can bear without out-of-control inflation.

Which is not to say that in practice minimum wage isn't better than nothing, it's just far from the best means of achieving it's legitimate purposes, in large part due to the adverse consequences it has in limiting employability.

> No, it doesn't.

Competition can also do it, but idk how that eliminates minimum wage from doing it. Neither raises revenue, both simply put pressure on profit margins. The only difference is one is regulation, the other is market force.

> It might limit value extraction where there is a monopsony purchaser of labor who is not also a monopoly supplier of the good produced with that labor, but that's not actually all that common a situation.

I think that's a very narrow view. If you look at Walmart and the like, these are still huge chunks of the market with low pay precisely because of economies of scale, so they are monopsony purchasers, even without being the only supplier or a product.

Also not covered is that with high unemployment, competition isn't there. People in minimum wage job searches are often picking between a job and no job, not two different jobs. You're assuming that employment markets are both efficient and equally balanced.

> If there is work to be done that genuinely has value less than the minimum wage

I think this is where the moral disagreement comes in. An economy that regularly squeezes people below living wage for work needs to be corrected. Minimum wage is an attempt at that by lowering corporate profit.

> Any legitimate moral purpose of minimum wage is served better by taxing business income and high-end personal (including capital) income and providing a UBI as high as economic productivity can bear without out-of-control inflation.

I would love to see this! But realistically that's not politically possible (though it is looking more so with the pandemic but still, generally speaking) and we can't be idealistically categorical in our policy. Minimum wage is fully pragmatic to me, not an ideal. It's a net positive compared to the current situation.

> Competition can also do it, but idk how that eliminates minimum wage from doing it.

Minimum wage only potentially does it for a narrow range of work with actual economic value that is between the minimum wage and a small multiple of it, and only for jobs where there isn't effective competition for labor (because effective competition for labor already does it as much as is possible, leaving nothing for minimum wage to do), and always has the cost, whether or not the conditions exist to provide the benefits, of making impossible all wage labor with an actual economic value less than the minimum wage, which not only kills jobs, but prevents upward mobility from the experience people would gain in those lower-value jobs.

> Minimum wage is fully pragmatic to me, not an ideal. It's a net positive compared to the current situation.

Minimum wage + means- and behavior-tested public benefit programs is the current situation.

I think you misunderstand what a minimum wage does. A minimum wage doesn't increase the bargaining power of an employee. It means the employee has to have a minimum amount of bargaining power to get hired in the first place. It doesn't actually prevent any exploitation. Imagine you are an exploited worker. You hate your boss, your job and the pay sucks. Do you really need a minimum wage law to be allowed to leave the job? No, you can just quit at any time. If you already had enough bargaining power you didn't need the minimum wage in the first place.

A minimum wage does absolutely nothing. It's like the British Queen: a political symbol that you can talk about.

If it actually did something then you wouldn't choose a low limit. You'd increase it to $100/hour but then you realize something. Even your well paid software developer job is at risk of being stomped by the minimum wage.

I never said it increased the bargaining power of an employee. A minimum wage ensures that employees are paid enough to survive at a human level.

I think you misunderstand my use of the word "exploit" here. The underpayment is the exploitation, not work conditions here. I'm not sure where someone wanting to quit their job factors into my argument.

> A minimum wage ensures that employees are paid enough to survive at a human level.

If they remain employees, that is.

Agreed, what harm does a minimum wage cause? We have a reasonable minimum wage in Australia (though I don't think it's been adjusted for inflation for a while) and it facilitates time for education, which in turn facilitates social mobility.

On the other hand, you can have no minimum wage, and end up with a class of working poor who have no time to educate themselves, thus condemning them to a life of constant work with no hope of social mobility.

I don't see how a minimum wage is harmful.

Australia has relatively high youth unemployement, a predicted effect of a high minimum wage: https://www.statista.com/statistics/811644/youth-unemploymen.... Having difficulty finding work after graduating high school or university is a common complaint among Australian youth, in my experience. The hardest part is getting the first job, getting the foot in the door, and this is because a minimum wage prevents many entry-level jobs from existing, where the value the positions would generate is much less than the minimum wage, so it makes no sense to create the positions.

>On the other hand, you can have no minimum wage, and end up with a class of working poor who have no time to educate themselves, thus condemning them to a life of constant work with no hope of social mobility.

The minimum wage can also create cycles of poverty by pricing people out of work. Some portion of the people who are "least hireable" are unable to get jobs because nobody would pay them $15/hour, so their only option is living permanently on welfare, which has a demoralising effect, and is associated with poor outcomes for their children. Imagine for instance the stereotypical Frankston junkie.

> Imagine for instance the stereotypical Frankston junkie.

I'd like to see data comparing minimum wage to drug abuse, but there's a few problems with trying to make that correlation. E.g., social welfare measures would largely factor in here, but I imagine that both minimum wage and welfare measures typically go hand in hand. But by naive comparison, just this wiki article seems to show that opiates abuse is about 5 times greater in the US vs Australia.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_prevalenc...

> Having difficulty finding work after graduating high school or university is a common complaint among Australian youth, in my experience.

Those numbers don't look all that different from the US. Are people pursuing minimum wage jobs after graduating high school or university? Even high school graduates with no intention of pursuing higher schooling seem to pursue a vocation at something higher than minimum wage.

Before corona, it was around 12-13% in Australia compared to 8-9% in the US, 3-4% is a non-trivial difference. In rural areas it's worse (https://www.abc.net.au/triplej/programs/hack/youth-unemploym...), which is expected as even if minimum wage is set "properly" for the cities, where most people live, it may be relatively too high for rural areas where cost of living and wages are lower.

>Are people pursuing minimum wage jobs after graduating high school or university? Even high school graduates with no intention of pursuing higher schooling seem to pursue a vocation at something higher than minimum wage.

Not everybody is able to find a higher-paying job, that's why we still see people at age thirty working in checkouts or McDonalds. Try not to think of the average person; instead imagine the worst behaved, most disruptive, academically failing students at your high school, and consider what kind of jobs are available to them. It's the least hireable people that are affected by minimum wage laws, not anybody who's capable of getting a better job.

> Before corona, it was around 12-13% in Australia compared to 8-9% in the US, 3-4% is a non-trivial difference.

I was looking over the past 10-20 years (I have no idea how long Australia has had a high minimum wage...I figured that wasn't a recent development). Around 2008 the discrepancy had the US 10% higher.

> Not everybody is able to find a higher-paying job, that's why we still see people at age thirty working in checkouts or McDonalds.

I agree. What I had (incorrectly) drawn from your statement was graduating implied they were pursuing a field--not the average person. I just saw that the US has 44% working low-wage jobs.

I think most people agree that minimum amount of money should be a basic right of every working person, but a minimum wage isn't the only way of accomplishing this — a guaranteed basic income or a negative income tax are superior alternatives to accomplishing the same goal. The US already has the Earned Income Tax Credit.

When you institute minimum wages (wage floors), businesses pass on those costs to the customer, resulting in inflated prices.

Imagine a pizza maker's market value is (say) $5/hour. They are able to produce (for simplicity's sake) 5 pizza's per hour, or $1/pizza. Including other operating costs + 3-5% profit margin (that's the average for most restaurants), let's say that the pizza sells for $5. Thus the pizza maker can expect to earn $40/day, on the market. Suppose the "livable minimum wage" should be $15/hour, or $120/day. There are 2 ways to guarantee this:

A) The government deposits an extra $80 to the worker, allowing them to make $120 that day. They can buy a pizza for $5, which is about 4% of their daily wage.

B) The government mandates a minimum wage of $15/hour, which means that the labor portion of the pizza cost goes up from $1 to $3 per pizza. The pizza now sells for $7 so that the shop doesn't go out of business. The worker makes $120/day, and can buy a pizza for $7, which is about 6% of their daily wage.

Notice that in (B), the worker is actually worse off, even though they have the same amount of money in their pocket. The worker has to pay a higher percentage of their pay to afford to eat, but this $2 extra means absolutely nothing to a billionaire, it's pennies to a rich person. This is functionally a regressive tax. In scenario (A), the worker is better off, and the welfare system that sustains it can be funded through progressive taxes, which targets rich people.

We as a society (rightly) demand a minimum standard of living for everyone, and we collectively pay for that one way or the other. Either we pay taxes to fund a welfare state, or we pay inflated prices for goods and services to maintain wage floors.

Paying taxes for welfare is more progressive, as the burden falls on richer people. Paying inflated prices for goods and services is regressive as it's a burden that falls equally on the rich and the poor.

I love how the parent stakes out several moral positions but tries to present them as objective truth or just “the way things are” with no evidence presented. Clever.

In my experience, once you get past the basics, economics is largely about dressing up ideology in the trappings of science. More generously, economics seems to be most similar to philosophy with competing schools of thought that differ primarily in what assumptions and axioms they choose when modeling human behavior.

This seems to be a very common tactic with American right wingers (on the internet at least) - speak/write as if the actually controversial/differing parts of your belief are obviously true, and only go into detail on what logically follows from those axioms.
nonidentified says>"As a profession, we have a miserable track record on morality."<

Hah! As a profession, you've had a miserable track record on _economics_! The profession should be academically "tarred, feathered and ridden out of town", departments dismantled and the models handed over to Operations Research departments along with a strong warning.

I wouldn't do that. It's widely accepted among economists that reducing funding for economics departments would be terrible for the university budget as a whole.
"And many modern economists endorse a minimum wage, as eugenicists did then, but with even less regard for the harm it causes."

Come on, you know the idea of a minimum wage is pretty widely accepted as a good idea by a lot of people, including (most? edit: apparently majority, but not by much) economists. You can't just phrase something as if it was widely accepted as true and make it so.

Don't get me wrong, you're absolutely allowed to voice your opinion on this, but the way you've phrased it strikes me as being rather intellectually dishonest.

>Come on, you know the idea of a minimum wage is pretty widely accepted as a good idea by a lot of people, including (most?) economists.

From a recent study https://cei.org/blog/what-do-economists-think-about-minimum-... : "A new poll of professional economists finds 74 percent of respondents opposing a $15 per hour minimum wage—and nearly a mirror image of non-economist public opinion, which is nearly a mirror opposite. 84 percent believe it would have a negative impact on youth employment levels. 43 percent favor eliminating the minimum wage outright. Only 12 percent of respondents identify as Republicans, which is roughly representative of the profession as a whole, with 35 percent identifying as Democratic and 46 percent as independents."

That sounds like it supports my statement? 74% oppose a specific increase, but only 43% oppose having a minimum wage. (That wording is ambiguous as to whether that's 43% of 100% or 43% of 74%, but both are < 50%)
I suppose it's the language: it would support "accepted by a majority of economists", but I don't think 57% support counts as "pretty widely accepted as a good idea by... most economists".
Which is why I said "most?". I knew I wasn't sure so I communicated that. Sorry if it wasn't obvious enough.
Also all of these sources people are citing are from shadowy "conservative think tanks", got anything with a little less blatantly obvious bias?

epionline.org is especially laughably biased and cherry picked.

I dunno, we might want to start getting some sources in on this. This is the one article I've seen beforehand that discusses how much economists endorse the idea of a minimum wage ($15/hr specifically) and it casts doubt on your very confident tone. I don't really know what to believe, maybe more polls are necessary.

https://epionline.org/studies/survey-of-us-economists-on-a-1...

Also wowww, research that this employment policies institute was involved in might not be the most unbiased source: https://www.sourcewatch.org/index.php/Employment_Policies_In...
I don't think I was being very confident - there was a reason I said "most?". However I'm fairly certain enough economists agree with the idea of a minimum wage that stating that it's a bad idea as if that's just accepted to be the truth is a little odd.
I sincerely don't know. I have one economist friend and he's iffy on the subject, claiming that minimum wage helps certain low-income groups and hurts other low-income groups. Based on that I don't even think you could categorize him as thinking it's a good or bad idea. That begins to step beyond the realm of economics and into politics or philosophy.
I agree; to latch onto your comment, the last time (AFAIK, my history is not great) the US made sweeping changes to its production was during WW2, where they changed the economy and shifted the workforce towards the war, producing weapons, ammo, etc.

On the one side it's a testament to the US' potential manufacturing prowess, on the other you have to wonder about the moral justification of it. If you take it out of context, of course, I mean they and the rest of the world were fighting some of the most morally objectionable forces at the time (the nazis and Japanese).

As an aside, the way things are heading now, the world will have to unite against the US. At least for now the US seems to keep to itself for the most part.

Is there another kind of argument from morality EXCEPT those that go, "We shouldn't do that because it could harm people?"

Hard to take someone seriously who blithely compares genocide to a minimum wage....

> Is there another kind of argument from morality EXCEPT those that go, "We shouldn't do that because it could harm people?"

The argument in this case appears to be exactly that, i.e. we shouldn't do that because those people would make too much money.

> Hard to take someone seriously who blithely compares genocide to a minimum wage....

There was a lot more to dislike about eugenics than genocide. You play the same game from the other side and you get to claim that Stalin's purges are attributable to the minimum wage because minimum wage is a communist policy and therefore responsible for all the things the communists did.

Eugenics is a much more mundane stupidity than that, like purposely trying to breed a lack of genetic diversity independent of "race" -- and we still do this with crops and livestock to our peril -- but back then they did it with people.

This has obvious parallels to minimum wage, where people are messing with something they don't fully understand based on simplistic assumptions. And then you do things like make it harder for young people to get internships because they can't pay a living wage even though that was never their purpose to begin with, or subject desperate people to really terrible jobs with longer commutes or less flexibility or otherwise higher real costs that actually really messes up their lives because you decreed that they couldn't accept a better job that pays less. Which have serious and long-term effects on large numbers of people.

You are comparing adjudicating the worth of a non changeable attribute of a human to the minimum cost of labor. If you can’t see the difference between the two then I don’t know what to do. There slippery slope arguments then there are just silly arguments.
There are many people with disabilities that prevent them from doing ordinary work but who could do certain jobs with lower productivity. A minimum wage is essentially telling these people that they are worthless and should sit in a room doing nothing even though they want to work and feel useful, and in many cases this makes their lives substantially worse because they both feel useless and have less income when they can't work.

That actually sounds kind of a lot like what they did to some of the victims of eugenics.

Right. And there’s no way to have an exception just like there is today. I can’t tell if you’re all be obtuse on purpose. Is this some sort of political movement to equate minimum wage to eugenics? As is now conservatives care about the poor, disabled, and minorities? What’s crazy is that I agree with OP of this thread that economists should refrain from saying what’s moral. But that’s because most economists are just old white men, and I doubt they’re able to judge what’s moral better than others.
Eugenics and wage “protections” like minimum wage are both tied to the same racist underpinnings.

The minimum wage was established to price out black workers.

Lots of rights enjoyed by all today in th US - the most important being voting - were originally established specifically at the exclusion of people of color and women.

The problem wasn't the rights themselves, it's that they were purposely offered to white men only.

Therefore it's deceptive to attack the minimum wage as being any more racist in origin than the right to vote is. Much of the law has deeply racist origins that has only been reformed in recent decades, and even then not completely.

That's a completely different thing. The minimum wage wasn't originally only offered to white people: it was mandated for everyone, for the purpose of rendering those with lower-paying jobs (people of color, immigrants) unemployed, or preventing them from competing with whites. The briefing paper at https://www.cato.org/sites/cato.org/files/pubs/pdf/bp017.pdf discusses this.

"The law provided that all federal construction contractors with contracts inexcess of $5,000 or more must pay their workers the "prevailing wage," which in practice meant the wages ofunionized labor. The measure passed because Congressmen saw the bill as protection for local, unionized[12] white workers' salaries in the fierce labor market of the Depression.[13] In particular, white union workers were angry that black workers who were barred from unions were migrating to the North in search of jobs in the building trades and undercutting "white" wages.[14] The comments of various congressmen reveal the racial animus that motivated the sponsors and supporters of the bill. In 1930, Representative John J. Cochran of Missouri stated that he had "received numerous complaints in recent months about southern contractors employing low-paid colored mechanics getting work and bringing the employees from the South."[15] Representative Clayton Allgood, supporting Davis-Bacon on the floor of the House, complained of "cheap colored labor" that "is in competition with white labor throughout the country."[16]"

> it was mandated for everyone, for the purpose of rendering those with lower-paying jobs (people of color, immigrants) unemployed

So it was mandated for "everyone", but by your own description, not really, because it adjusted another variable - who had a job - by race, which is practically the same thing as being racially exclusionary.

This is not so different to how black people in theory got the right to vote after the Civil War, but practically were excluded from voting in many areas until just 50 years ago.

No, it is very different from that. The right to vote in that case was denied purely based upon racial boundaries - it's not like poor white people couldn't vote in the South.

Minimum wage is much more underhanded than that, because it was passed in the name of fairness but it was really just to protect entrenched workers against an incoming wave of competition.

These labor protections in the US are what initially got so many working-class white Americans on board with the progressive agenda in the first place.

What about the person who wants to sell their services at a rate lower than what the government has deemed allowable? Where are their rights in this scenario?
In that case, they can be a self employed independent contractor.
Was the minimum wage in, for example, New Zealand established to price out black workers?
I don't know about New Zealand, but in 1912 Arthur Holcombe of Harvard University said about Australia's minimum wage:

"[The minimum wage will] protect the white Australian’s standard of living from the invidious competition of the colored races, particularly of the Chinese."