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by wutman 2568 days ago
I think the general U.S. population is okay with monopolies that make their lives better. Apple will continue to push the envelope. Developers can fight back (does anyone remember the Apple vs Spotify thing?) but if Apple keeps putting out a consistent quality experience, the vast maturity of the population won't be sympathetic.
3 comments

How is Apple a monopoly? They don't even have a majority of the US market.

I do agree they have incredible market strength. But that comes from a large base of loyal customers with deep pockets, not from monopolizing the market.

Closed ecosystem technology service conglomerate is a better way to say it. The word monopoly gets used interchangeably within antitrust conversations all the time to mean abusive market position and behavior.

Apple is forcing anyone that uses Sign in With Facebook or Google to also support Sign in With Apple, or they will be removed from the app store. Quite a power play. (hence the title of the article)

Can you make the argument that they are abusing their position as one of two mobile operating systems to force unnatural adoption of their service, at the expense of their competition, Google and Facebook.

The fact that they don't have anywhere near a numerical majority of devices always makes me pause on this stuff.

The weird thing with Apple using its market position to get their way is that they don't have all the customers, not by a long shot. It's that they have the customers you want.

I'd hazard to guess Apple looks more dominant by some customer money-weighted metric.

When Apple directly competes against companies on its own platform it does seem a bit shaky a la Spotify.

But in the general case, the idea still bites at me that you don't need Apple to access a sufficient customer base, but you want them because you want to access Apple's customers.

well said.

Heres where I think it is anti-competitive. Lets say you are building a streaming service. You choose to be android only, because you want the majority of the market, and calculate that you dont need the Apple users. Your competitor complies with more apple rules, and goes cross platform. They win because they chose to be cross platform.

It's hard to win (and by and large you usually need to be a winner, to exist in the long run) without offering your product to people, whichever device they choose to access it from.

Apple, despite being a non majority of the market share, is a king maker, they can choose the winners. And if they want to, they can cripple their competitors through a combination of app store rules, payment processing requirements and limited api access (streaming, payment, maps, etc)

How is that any different from game makers choosing not to support every console?
There are two factors that matters to a relevant market definition in monopoly; product and geographic. We don't know what product definition will eventually be chosen by the Justice Department yet, but Apple will be in surely trouble when it's defined as users with Apple mobile devices since Apple has an absolute power in this hypothetical market.

It's true that Apple doesn't have a dominant position in the phone market, but the same logic may not be applicable to the app store. Do not confuse those two; Not much customers change their expensive phone due to $1 increase of app prices which could be easily mandated by Apple even though there's nothing stop them from changing their phone. So Android apps are not really viable substitutes unless Apple allows another competing OS or app store on iPhone. Because of this reason, even Apple hasn't attempted to defend itself with "Android is a viable option!".

Which would make no sense, since it would be a circular argument that would apply to every company with a product to sell.
It's the argument that the car makers lost when it was determined you're not restricted to only their mechanics when it comes time for a warranty claim.

Ford can't restrict you to only Ford parts and Ford service mechanics and Ford Gas and Ford toll roads just because you bought a Ford.

I agree that it's not very intuitive. That's why there's no single clear definition of "market" in antitrust laws and most of the time it's done by hypothetical monopolist test, which is a highly data-driven process. I have no idea on what will be the final decision since it's not a predictable one for the outsider; I am just giving you one real possibility rather than ruling it out from the beginning.
How so? Most goods can trivially be substituted for another of the same category. A dishwasher can be substituted for another dishwasher etc.
They have complete control over the iOS application market: https://www.theverge.com/2019/5/14/18618127/apple-pepper-sup...
As does Sony over PlayStation, Microsoft over XBox, and Nintendo over their consoles.
You don't have to have the majority of the market to display anti-competitive behavior.
The EU assumes you have a market-dominant position at a market share of 40%. You don't even need a majority of the market to be treated as a "monopolist".
Such as in price-fixing, collusion, and more.
I don’t know if monopoly is the right word, but if I want to share messages with my family and friends reliably, I have to use their devices.

I could conceivably convince everyone around me to switch to WhatsApp or similar. But in practice I don’t think that’s likely so I just only buy Apple devices.

Apple also lied to us about this, claiming FaceTime would be an open protocol. I don’t think they ever said the same about iMessage.

I think there is both fraud and federal telecommunications law being violated in these acts, but I don’t have the resources to sue Apple.

The only messaging controlled by Apple is iMessage and it integrates with SMS.
It's so disheartening that every time I post about this on HN, I am downvoted into negative numbers and argued with.

If you disable iMessage, any messages people send to group chats you were in will just silently stop working. I don't know what else to say. You will never see those messages. Yes, it sort of integrates with SMS. But if you want to actually see all of your messages, once you are in you have to stay in.

I dont think most people give a second thought to decentralized protocols and standards vs institutional monopolies. (Not necessarily in those technical terms, but just the concepts in general.)

It's second nature to expect an ATT phone to call a Verizon phone. It's an automatic assumption that outlook and gmail email are cross compatible, along with any other correctly configured email server. But it doesnt even cross peoples minds that they cant order an Uber from Lyft and vice versa. Needing to be on the same closed platform is part of how the internet evolved. Its faster for large companies to release proprietary products than to push industry standardization.

I think it's true as long as they're not pricing as a monopolist would. One could argue that Standard Oil and AT&T (pre-1980s Bell System, that is) made people's lives better, but the prices they exacted from their customers were too high.

On the other hand, the increasing importance of intellectual property to the American economy (vs. the manufacturing economy) -- and the Constitutionally-sanctioned monopolies that come with it -- suggest that perhaps even monopolistic pricing is no longer the concern it once was.

That's a common misconception about Standard Oil [1]. In fact they were instrumental in lowering prices (albeit not 1:1 with their reduced production costs). John Rockefeller was a conflicted man in terms of ethics - but it was clear he felt a moral obligation to provide quality products at reasonable prices.

The "predatory" part was towards his competition. In areas where they operated he dumped product below cost. He also had the guaranteed best prices with the railroads ensuring his costs would always be dramatically lower than the competition. However even here there was a benevolence not seen in modern business. Before destroying his competition he always offered them a buyout at a favourable valuation.

[1] https://pdfs.semanticscholar.org/5a78/95f431660f4c41e2050614...

Claiming that a monopolist is the good guy because he eliminates his competition by lowering prices is like closing a great novel halfway through. It's what happens _after_ all the competition has been killed off that's interesting: it's difficult to resist the temptation of raising prices significantly once there's nobody left to compete with you.
John Rockefeller was an old man by the time the antitrust suit came - the gouging phase never came with him at the helm. Further, his peak market share occurred long before. At the time of the anti trust he had 65% share, vs the 85% at Standard Oil's peak 30 years prior.

Its quite possible his successors might have followed the standard playbook. But Rockefeller himself is not an example of this consumer harming tactic. This is why his biggest critic was the daughter of another oil man, not a harmed consumer.

If you take anything away from the Rockefeller story it should be that the consumers need not be currently harmed for a successful prosecution. The standard and false "common knowledge" actually defangs the law quite a bit.

>...The "predatory" part was towards his competition. In areas where they operated he dumped product below cost.

Actually from reading your link, I don't get that impression that Standard Oil dumped product below cost to put competitors out of business. As your link states:

>...The testimonies studied by McGee and summarized in this research show that the Standard Oil did not acquire or out-compete its rivals by using predatory pricing. There is no clearcut case suggesting the opposite. In fact, Standard Oil was able to beat its competition by charging lower prices to the general public because its own average cost was significantly lower than the rest.

>...While there still remain a number of other allegations to which the Supreme Court found Standard Oil guilty, that remains beyond the scope of this research. What it can be concluded thus far is that the Supreme Court should not have found Standard Oil guilty of using predatory pricing.

The link makes a lot of references to the John McGee paper on this subject. I think that paper can be found here:

http://www-personal.umich.edu/~twod/oil/NEW_SCHOOL_COURSE200...

I don't fully agree with the linked thesis, but it was a convenient link to show the average picture and his affect on consumers. Rockefeller absolutely participated in predatory pricing within local markets. Of course if you only look at national average data you won't see this.

Rockefeller would likely have still won even in a fair fight just because of his economy of scale. But that wasn't enough for him, and he resorted to underhanded tactics like having his own subsidiaries engage in fake price wars between each other. The full ownership of those subsidiaries was intentionally obscured. In this day national average data may be sufficient to build a picture, but at that time national companies were very rare and competition was heavily regional. Note that this was only a net negative for his competitors, consumers benefited from the low prices and the predicted gouging never came after.

There is a common line of thought that because consumers weren't immediately harmed that Rockefeller should never have been tried. I don't agree with that logic - the end does not justify the means.

Correct.

This is the issue with the tech giants. Under current law, you need to find actual anticompetitive practices. Some way that Apple harms able competitors. Like maybe something they do to force people to switch to Apple phones. (Note: I did not say "entice", I said "Force".) It's anti-competitive if people would be obliged to buy Apple phones. Or if Apple controlled some essential component of mobile phone hardware and jacked up the price on that component for anyone who wanted to make an Android phone.

It has to be something like that. Something Apple is doing, which is at once negatively affecting Apple's competition and entirely dependent on Apple's market position. That's what an anti-competitive practice is.

Gating the app store, banning apps and then cloning their functionality could be construed as anti-competitive.

It's the way Apple, Amazon, and Facebook work now. Clone a product, add it to your ecosystem with enhanced proprietary integrations to your other services. Your competitors cant compete because they dont have access to the same api or the same paas. It really has nothing to do with product pricing or selling client side phones.

Gating the app store is not anti-competitive, because it doesn't harm any other app store. In fact, it could be argued that it helps other app stores since it restricts the number of products available on Apple's store. In theory, and in practice, a consumer would have access to far more product on other app stores than they would have on Apple's App store. So the other app stores have the advantage there. That coupled with the fact that the other app stores also happen to have the dominant market share position...

well, you can kind of see where a supreme court justice might be a little skeptical.

Banning apps could be anti-competitive, if the app can in no way be made available through other app stores. That is to say, if you can run the app, without restriction, on an android phone, from an android app store, you're gonna have a hard time convincing a judge or jury that Apple is engaging in anti-competitive practices.

Firstly, it can be demonstrated in court that your app is available to a larger number of handsets than is Apple's app. (You'd not believe how devastating a download and install demonstration is to a lack of market access argument in open court.) Secondly, there is no mechanism by which Apple is able to use its own App store, to squash the presence of apps on other App stores. That's the sort of mechanism that you'd need under current law. (That mechanism doesn't even have to be Apple's App Store by the way. It could be any mechanism that Apple is using to keep apps off of other app stores. Provided that Apple is the only competitor able to use that mechanism.)

This is all a good example actually of why I've been a big proponent of changing the laws first, and then going after the tech firms. But it seems there is no stomach for that out there right now. Now if we had changed the laws, we might have had a more clear attack vector. We could have said that Apple, is acting as a market participant in its own marketplace. (Not currently illegal under current law.)

There are definitely ways being a market participant, in what is effectively your own market, can be anti-competitive. Problem is, the entire economy has been polluted with companies engaging in this practice over the past 40 or 50 years. I suspect this is part of the reason there is no stomach for cracking down on the practice with new laws. You'd have everyone from Costco and Walgreens, to AMC theaters and Clothing retailers trying to restructure themselves. (Think about it. I create some new wiz bang dog food in my garage that I think is the next big thing in pet food. I try to get it into Costco but they say no. Was that anti-competitive in support of their own brand of dog food? or did my dog food genuinely fall short of their quality guidelines? Or maybe they just made a retailing decision that they have too many dog foods on offer?)

So I can see where new laws might create kind of a mess in the short to medium term, but I really think they are needed right now.

>Gating the app store is not anti-competitive, because it doesn't harm any other app store.

You make a shopping app. Apple makes a rule that says "your app type isnt allowed anymore" but then builds that banned app type itself. Its anti competitive towards shopping apps, not app stores.

Not allowing the user to set a default map app is anti competitive. No matter what map app I prefer, when I click an address it opens in Apple Maps (unless the app i clicked it in supports passing the address to a different map, which is circumventing the os protocol handlers.) The OS and App Store working in tangent to force users to use certain apps, or make the experience with competing apps infinitely more cumbersome, is absolutely anti-competitive.

Saying "you must integrate Sign in with Apple" or your app will be removed from the app store is Apple using its power to force adoption, at the expense of competing sign in solutions. Whether or not that is abuse, would be for a judge to decide.

Is it a monopoly if all other options are ad-infested and privacy lacking?

If Apple is considered to have a monopoly on privacy-first devices and ecosystem, then let's first judge the system that allows the other (clearly undesirable) options to even exist.

Monopoly as a definitive term has criteria, and Apple doesn't meet those. By your same argument, any luxury brand "prices like a monopolist" and should be shunned.

I don't contend that Apple is a monopolist. We're discussing a hypothetical that assumes that they are, and whether it would be tolerated by law and society in today's climate as opposed to how monopolies were treated in previous generations.
So you're comparing a hypothetical assertion to previous actual monopolies?

Sounds unproductive other than to lend credence to the (false) assertion.

AT&T was a government sanctioned monopoly before they were broken up and their rates were regulated by the government.