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by JumpCrisscross 1 day ago
> telemetry will tell the story

Idk, the death-toll gap between Tesla and Waymo seems to tell a story enough.

2 comments

There are very few (if any?) known deaths caused by FSD accidents.

Note: it’s important to distinguish between Autopilot and FSD here. “Autopilot” is Tesla’s old assisted driving stack that comes free in most vehicles and has had no significant updates in years. “FSD” is an entirely different software stack that only works with newer vehicles and that Tesla charges $$ for. It’s much more advanced and IMO a lot safer.

This article never mentions FSD, only Autopilot.

> There are very few (if any?) known deaths caused by FSD accidents

It’s tough to say given many data sources are aggregated. For what it’s worth, my parents’ car is a Tesla with FSD and I’ve stopped it from, off the top of my head, racing into a red-lit intersection, running over a small dog and running into a closing garage door.

I still use it. It mostly works. But I’m vigilantly monitoring it in a way that isn’t supported by Tesla’s marketing (which frequently shows drivers engaging it hands off).

The garage door I can certainly believe. Its AI brain just won’t be trained to look for that sort of thing.

I’m surprised about the red lights and animals, however: ours seems very cautious around any kind of live animal on the road, even braking and manoeuvring to avoid birds on the road. It’s not so good at avoiding the corpses of already dead ones, however (bump!).

> The garage door I can certainly believe. Its AI brain just won’t be trained to look for that sort of thing.

Why not? That’s likely to come up at minimum thousands of times per day, and likely vastly more as the system improves.

I get the impression that it kind of comprehends the world as a horizontal plane. It’s focused on objects on the surface and isn’t looking for hazards coming from above. Could that be improved? Sure! Is it a priority for them? Maybe not…
At minimum it needs to pay attention to railroad crossing bars and bridges.

They show a 2D representation to the driver because that’s good enough for drivers, but I wouldn’t assume that represents how the system operates internally at every stage. Even navigating requires the concept of bridges crossing roads without intersecting them.

> I’m surprised about the red lights and animals

Both only happened once. But they were shocking when they did. (To be fair, my Subaru tried to push me into oncoming traffic because it was avoiding a “collision” from the guy in the other lane turning weirdly. Turned at collision-avoidance feature off.)

"There are very few (if any?) known deaths caused by FSD accidents"

https://theintercept.com/2023/01/10/tesla-crash-footage-auto...

No deaths in this one

Note the comment about Google's Waymo ceasing to use the term "full self-driving" after this accident

Why would they do that

Let the reader decide

To me, having safety features that cost nothing for the manufacturer to enable sold as an option is a gross practice.

See: The software that enabled a secondary AOA sensor on the Boeing 737Max.

> “Autopilot” is Tesla’s old assisted driving stack that comes free in most vehicles and has had no significant updates in years. “FSD” is an entirely different software stack that only works with newer vehicles and that Tesla charges $$ for. It’s much more advanced and IMO a lot safer.

I'm not sure the point you're making here - that just sounds like "Tesla couldn't care less about updating their software and it's still "not good". People it hits are still dead. "Oh well, it's not like Tesla had updated the software, so you can't blame them".

Oh, I absolutely agree. Ideally Telsa would dump the old Autopilot stack and put all cars (that have the hardware to support it) on a free version of FSD, nerfed so that it's roughly feature-equivalent to Autopilot.

That way everyone would get the safety advantages of FSD, including the really important stuff like better driver attention monitoring. Unfortunately, Tesla keeps Autopilot bad because it forces more people to pay for FSD, and in this case they seem to care more about profits than safety.

> Unfortunately, Tesla keeps Autopilot bad because it forces more people to pay for FSD, and in this case they seem to care more about profits than safety.

Not saying you're wrong, but I think "it forces people to pay for FSD" is a poor decision if true.

More likely it creates market confusion (as we see in this thread) about exactly which of the two products that Tesla advertises as things which drive your car for you is the more dangerous one and which is "the good one" (though from their taxis, I think the scare quotes are still justified even then).

I'm also not even sure if they do care about profits (or safety), given Musk's made about as much from selling Tesla shares as the company has made in lifetime profit, before getting shareholder approval for a deal to give him more shares. (Conditionally give, yes, but the nature of it all suggests share price is more important than profit or safety, and if you don't care about such things that makes it much easier for them to sell a million robots or whatever).

That the reporting is so tortured sort of shows this works. It’s irrelevant in a broad or legal context. But for the narrow audience of his fans, it carries merit.
When you say this, do you have in mind that "his fans" are the customers, or the shareholders?

I ask because he has made about as much from the latter as Tesla has made from the former.

You are on Hacker News, you don't think we know what FSD is?
The article only mentions Autopilot, but half the comments here are talking about FSD.
Makes sense

It's relevant because it arguably affects the driver's beliefs and behaviour, whether they are using FSD or just Autopilot

It's a separate upgrade but it's reasonable to assume the marketing may affect drivers using only Autopilot

If HN commenters are confusing the two then this only strengthens that argument

does it makes sense to compare the two given that waymos are driven in a limited set of circumstances and most of the times below speeds that could kill you on a crash?