[contingencies]

Previously: Anthony “Tony” Chavez, William Neil McCasland, Steven Garcia, Monica Jacinton Reza, Nuno Loureiro, Carl Grillmair, Jason Thomas, Frank Maiwald, Michael David Hicks.

About five or six follow the 'went with nothing or just a handgun to the woods [or lake] and never came back' pattern. Those which fit that pattern are all 2025/2026.

[enoch_r]

Exactly what pool of people are we drawing from here? How big is our denominator?

- Anthony Chavez was a foreman supervising construction at Los Alamos. Retired in 2017.

- Melissa Casias (from this article) was an administrative assistant at Los Alamos.

- Steven Garcia was a "property custodian at KCNSC."

- Jason Thomas was associate directory of chemical biology at Novartis (pharma company) on cancer treatment.

- McCasland retired 13 years before he went missing.

- Nuno Loureiro was a plasma physicist at MIT.

So the denominator here has to include:

- current and former employees (at all levels, including clerical positions like Melissa Casias or construction workers like Anthony Chavez) of government research facilities

- management at pharmaceutical companies (or presumably, other STEM companies as well?).

- academics working in STEM fields (MIT plasma physicist Nuno Loureiro)

So you have to ask yourself two questions:

- how big is the pool that we're drawing these deaths from? and

- given a pool of this size, how many people in it would you expect to die in a ~3 year period?

To me the answer is really boring - this number of deaths is just utterly unsurprising. It honestly doesn't even rise to the level of being a "coincidence." It's a complete non-event.

[contingencies]

The 2025/2026 subset is a bit more interesting than the full set. Also, only in America would 'walking off with a handgun and disappearing' be considered normal. But yes, no proof of foul play.

[rowbin]

That is very concerning. Any chance this could be coincidence? Is there anything known that is not speculation?

[potatototoo99]

It is a coincidence, some of the deaths have been already solved and not related with the conspiracy theory. Nuno Loureiro for example.

[zzrrt]

The Loureiro case doesn't explain things much better than a conspiracy theory does. At least, after a few minutes of research, I'm still wondering if someone could have manipulated the suspect into finally acting on a decades-long beef that does not appear to have been escalating steadily. Perhaps the hard part is why he shot the other people, but an angry suicidal person could do that, whether they were acting alone or triggered by someone else.

[__patchbit__]

One entity is known for assassination of nuclear scientists..