They are going to lose, the question is how much. I don't see Russians losing the territory they occupy right now, unless some black swan event happens. It remains to be seen how much more territory Russia is able to conquer until they lose their appetite.
This is a common story, that Ukraine has lost control over a vital part of it's country, and that is true.
But so has Russia, they also have lost control over their stuff, stuff that Ukraine are constantly blowing up.
Ukraine now have a capable long range offensive capability which allows them to strike deep into Russia.
Russias vital strategic assets are slowly depleting due to Ukrainian strikes, while Ukraine has better support from the rest of the world and are now in fact cooperating with some powerful nations across the world.
Russia are managing to advance a few square kilometer of territory per month? while losing expensive, hard to replace assets continuously.
Have you seen how the Russians have treated conquered territories with torture chambers and having to submit to the dictatorship for life? And life is often only a few months as they round the males up and force them into the Russian army to get killed.
And to replenish their losses Ukrainian regime snatches men on the street. There are thousands of videos made by bystanders.[0] Come and see.
P.S. I love the ad I see on that site: "Over 10 million Ukrainians suffer from anxiety due to the war. Free exercises with scientifically proven effectiveness." The most important exercise now is running - it saves your life.
The Ukrainians seem to be dealing with it by switching to bots, drones and the like as much as possible and moving human resources back.
I'm not sure about the Russians. That would kind of make sense for them too but things seem a bit gummed up by bureaucracy - I just read a thead about them having to use firecrackers in dones due to such restrictions https://x.com/ChrisO_wiki/status/2049026651544023271
I hope Russia manages to get some more sensible leadership or policies. The Ilya Remeslo guy being let out and able to criticize Putin seems somewhat promising.
> I just read a thead about them having to use firecrackers in dones due to such restrictions
Haven't read the thread but the post omits crucial detail. This is about using interceptor drones inside Russia, not on the frontline. Apparently, the thinking is that failed interceptor drones present hazard of their own, but it might be outdated now.
>I hope Russia manages to get some more sensible leadership or policies.
Like what?
More and more people in Russia are unhappy with Putin dragging his feet with so called special military operation. They think that it's long overdue to turn to total war and forget about minimizing civilian losses in the Ukraine.
Well an obvious solution would be to back to Russia and do something else. You don't have to invade other countries and have an empire. I'm a Brit and we gave up on that about a century ago and it hasn't been so bad. The whole thing seems anachronistic, I think based on Putin reading too many history books and avoiding modern info on the internet.