[ripped_britches]

I’m not on either side of the argument, but one popular definition is missing which is “can automate most knowledge work”.

Not that this is my definition or anything, just pointing out that this is the one people actually care about, even if the acronym doesn’t say anything about economics or social change.

[oakhan3]

Interesting, could you explain it further - I'd like to know what that means - I thought I covered this in definition 8 - but with the very blatant asterisk in the post being - we have it and it works but it doesn't work consistently enough and with acceptable quality in long enough runs or open ended tasks - but I believe we will get closer and closer to this target with improvements in models and scaffolding.

[ripped_britches]

I agree that it seems most likely that things are going to rapidly improve as they have been.

But the reality is that global unemployment levels are as of yet unaffected.

This is clearly the hardest bar to meet, but it’s also the most important.

If AI fully automates 5% of global jobs (or pick your number), I think it would be fair to say that this specific definition of AGI is achieved.

As a SWE, I feel immensely augmented by AI. But you can’t yet fully deploy an AI to do a job end to end without any human involvement.

I use like ~1b input tokens per week on codex or something like that, and while it does an insane amount of work, you have to have a skilled hand guide it.

This might not be the case for long, but it’s not here yet (in that narrow definition at least).