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by ripped_britches 72 days ago
I agree that it seems most likely that things are going to rapidly improve as they have been.

But the reality is that global unemployment levels are as of yet unaffected.

This is clearly the hardest bar to meet, but it’s also the most important.

If AI fully automates 5% of global jobs (or pick your number), I think it would be fair to say that this specific definition of AGI is achieved.

As a SWE, I feel immensely augmented by AI. But you can’t yet fully deploy an AI to do a job end to end without any human involvement.

I use like ~1b input tokens per week on codex or something like that, and while it does an insane amount of work, you have to have a skilled hand guide it.

This might not be the case for long, but it’s not here yet (in that narrow definition at least).