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by bananaflag 111 days ago
Well the main thing he is known for is "it's all gonna crash" and that's a fact that this page admits he's wrong about.

Everything else, yeah, he's right, and I never doubted. I agree LLMs are unreliable, insecure etc. But I don't deduce from that that they're gonna amount to nothing.

3 comments

> Well the main thing he is known for is "it's all gonna crash" and that's a fact that this page admits he's wrong about.

Have there been specific claims about when it’s going to crash? I find it hard to believe he claimed it was all going to crash by early 2026. Maybe I’m wrong, I haven’t read all of his posts. But neither did the author, they admit in the repo this is all LLM, nothing was verified by humans.

Obviously I don't speak for Gary Marcus, but I'd say the chances of an AI financial crash aren't really directly linked to whether or not LLMs amount to anything or nothing.

From my perspective, it is basically guaranteed that LLMs will increasingly be seen as essential work tools for just about anyone doing knowledge work. So they won't amount to nothing.

But it is not at all guaranteed that the frontier model companies who are currently burning billions of dollars chasing that will capture significant percentages of that value.

Has he said they're going to amount to nothing?