[bayarearefugee]

Obviously I don't speak for Gary Marcus, but I'd say the chances of an AI financial crash aren't really directly linked to whether or not LLMs amount to anything or nothing.

From my perspective, it is basically guaranteed that LLMs will increasingly be seen as essential work tools for just about anyone doing knowledge work. So they won't amount to nothing.

But it is not at all guaranteed that the frontier model companies who are currently burning billions of dollars chasing that will capture significant percentages of that value.