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by AllenDowney
4997 days ago
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I am coming around to the conclusion that this example is more trouble than it's worth. I think it's kind of fun, but it does seem to annoy people. This kind of feedback is exactly why I like to post drafts early. Expect this example to magically disappear very soon :) |
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Ambiguous: "In a family with two children, what are the chances, if one of the children is a girl named Florida, that both children are girls?"
More clear, and emphasizing the importance of precise wording when discussing probability: "Among families with two children, with at least one of the children being a girl named Florida, what portion have two girls? (Assume that all names are chosen randomly from the same distribution, independently of all other factors; and sex is determined as by a fair coin toss.)"