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by trhtrsh 4996 days ago
The problem with the Girl Named Florida is that the ambiguous wording is more confusing than the math.

Ambiguous: "In a family with two children, what are the chances, if one of the children is a girl named Florida, that both children are girls?"

More clear, and emphasizing the importance of precise wording when discussing probability: "Among families with two children, with at least one of the children being a girl named Florida, what portion have two girls? (Assume that all names are chosen randomly from the same distribution, independently of all other factors; and sex is determined as by a fair coin toss.)"