[amanaplanacanal]

During The last American civil war, the North was the economic poeerhouse, and the slave states were relatively poor. This no doubt impacted the outcome.

Today the blue states are the economic powerhouse, and the red states are relatively poor. Should it come to it, I would expect the wealthy states to win.

We hopefully will never find out, though.

[pseudalopex]

The urban centers in red states are blue. The rural areas in blue states are red. A civil war would not follow state lines.

[projectazorian]

These are the same rural areas rapidly turning against the administration due to its trade policy destroying global demand for their products, its foreign policy funding their international competitors, and its environmental policies lowering their land value by discouraging wind power development.

Certain rural areas like northern Idaho may be dominated by people moving there for ideological reasons, but this is not the norm.

[pseudalopex]

What made you think people rapidly turned against the Trump administration? His approval ratings declined slowly since January. They are higher than they were most of 2017.[1]

[1] https://www.ipsos.com/en-us/closer-look-president-trumps-app...

[projectazorian]

Approval ratings don’t mean much for a lame duck president.

Look at the 2026 Senate polls in places like Iowa. Given Trump’s margin of victory in 2024 the Republicans should be crushing it, but they are struggling.

[shadowgovt]

Is there any reason to be concerned he won't be a lame-duck President?

He's making real noise about seeking a third term, regardless of the legality of it.

[pseudalopex]

> Approval ratings don’t mean much for a lame duck president.

A term limited president can care less about approval ratings. This does not mean their approval ratings cannot be compared to their approval ratings.

> Look at the 2026 Senate polls in places like Iowa. Given Trump’s margin of victory in 2024 the Republicans should be crushing it, but they are struggling.

I do not accept Senate polls measure Trump support better than Trump approval polls. And 2026 Senate projections show Republicans losing 1 or 2 seats. Iowa is not 1 of them. Iowa polls did show the unpopular incumbent senator and a hypothetical Democratic opponent had similar support. But the unpopular incumbent senator announced she would retire. And hypothetical opponents poll better than real opponents many times.