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by projectazorian 238 days ago
Approval ratings don’t mean much for a lame duck president.

Look at the 2026 Senate polls in places like Iowa. Given Trump’s margin of victory in 2024 the Republicans should be crushing it, but they are struggling.

2 comments

Is there any reason to be concerned he won't be a lame-duck President?

He's making real noise about seeking a third term, regardless of the legality of it.

> Approval ratings don’t mean much for a lame duck president.

A term limited president can care less about approval ratings. This does not mean their approval ratings cannot be compared to their approval ratings.

> Look at the 2026 Senate polls in places like Iowa. Given Trump’s margin of victory in 2024 the Republicans should be crushing it, but they are struggling.

I do not accept Senate polls measure Trump support better than Trump approval polls. And 2026 Senate projections show Republicans losing 1 or 2 seats. Iowa is not 1 of them. Iowa polls did show the unpopular incumbent senator and a hypothetical Democratic opponent had similar support. But the unpopular incumbent senator announced she would retire. And hypothetical opponents poll better than real opponents many times.