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by IdSayThatllDoIt 330 days ago
It's a nash equilibrium, the primary value of spycraft is opposition to hostile spycraft.

It's like wishing militaries didn't exist.

3 comments

I like the idea of explaining Mad Magazine's Spy v Spy as a Nash equilibrium. Nash is about strategies, particularly that neither side could do any better with any other strategy. Spying's justification then comes from fact that withdrawal would be a worse strategy.
Well, and being worse than your opponents likely has material negative effects.
The CIA does more than counterespionage. For example, Chile would be a much better place if the CIA didn't overthrow its democracy and install a fascist dictator, Pinochet, in its stead.
>Chile would be a much better place if the CIA didn't overthrow its democracy and install a fascist dictator

Empirically that's not a very well-supported statement, if you compare the economy and living conditions of Chile to its neighbours. Empirically speaking, electing communist governments almost always leads to reduced living standards. It's like if the US hadn't intervened in to help a fascist dictator in South Korea, the whole of South Korea would be as poor as North Korea is now.

> Empirically speaking, electing communist governments almost always leads to reduced living standards.

Almost always leads to a CIA-backed coup or civil war which indirectly indeed reduces living standards. In the other scenarios it often resulted in generally improved living standards via industrialization, increase of literacy and social programs. In yet others gross mismanagement and large scale famines, or fluctuating results depending on the time scale. There is no commonly accepted uniform outcome, and "almost always worse living standards" is clearly not one.

Yeah, with help of KGB. What could possibly go wrong? It could become as democratic as Cuba. In best case. Or take path of other countries with exported communist revolutions, like North Korea, Cambodia, Laos, Vietnam. You just don't know about pervasive and perverted level of informants and delation that was installed by these "democratic" countries
Well you went off the rails. The comment is talking about Chile, which was a democracy before the CIA overthrew the government and installed a dictator. What does that have to do with other countries or the KGB?
The head side of the coin comes with the tail side of the coin.
Saying the "CIA overthrew its democracy and installed a fascist dictator" is a vast oversimplification of what actually happened and ignores the role of other international actors, not to mention the domestic actors themselves.

Like most "CIA coups", the role the CIA played in Chile is more of a "hey let's help this guy who is already planning a coup" and if you dig into the details, it raises the question if the CIA had done nothing whether the outcome would have changed at all.

> Like most "CIA coups", the role the CIA played in Chile is more of a "hey let's help this guy who is already planning a coup" and if you dig into the details, it raises the question if the CIA had done nothing whether the outcome would have changed at all.

Helping a fascist coup is bad, even if the fascist coup didn't need your help.

Is it worse if the alternative is another authoritarian?

It's not a choice between democracy and a fascist (Allende was going regardless), it was a choice between a US friendly authoritarian or a USSR friendly authoritarian.

This is a nice summary of the situation in Chile at the time, the actors involved (domestic and international) and the role of the CIA.

https://www.kyleorton.com/p/myth-1973-american-coup-in-chile

To get a sense of the CIA’s role, they didn’t even think Pinochet had it in him - they had others pegged as the coup leader. They were surprised to find out it was Pinochet.

>Is it worse if the alternative is another authoritarian?

Comparing the two is so fatuous I can't believe it.

You know reality is independent from your morals right ?
It's really not complicated. Don't support people who murder, torture, and expel people from their homes.

"The other guy was worse," is factually pretty off base. You can pick and choose sources all you want, but the fact is that Allende was elected as democratically as any US president in the last few decades: the idea that foreign interference invalidates an election is pretty specious. And even if you want to call Allende a dictator, he's definitely a better dictator than Pinochet: he killed far, far fewer innocent people. I give zero fucks about US-friendly vs. USSR-friendly in this case: if the US friendly dictator kills hundreds of thousands of people and the USSR friendly one doesn't, the USSR friendly one is better.

Let me make this clear: if you choose capitalism over preventing mass-murder, your morality is screwed up.

And even if somehow Allende was worse (which again, is not true), that doesn't make supporting Pinochet morally right. Most 5 year olds know two wrongs don't make a right.

> To get a sense of the CIA’s role, they didn’t even think Pinochet had it in him - they had others pegged as the coup leader. They were surprised to find out it was Pinochet.

If your argument is that the CIA was incompetent, that doesn't look much better for them.

>https://www.kyleorton.com/p/myth-1973-american-coup-in-chile

This article is on the level of "the holocaust never happened" cherry-picked argumentations.

Just an example: it doesn't even mention the trucker's strike was directed by the CIA.

Love your attempt at bringing in Holocaust denial to evoke emotions.

The total funding was $7M over 2 years. The strike involved 250,000 trucker drivers, or $28 per striker.

As the source said in a NY Times article..

““The whole point of this is that covert action provides a 1 per cent impetus for something that the people want anyway,” he said.” - CIA source

https://www.nytimes.com/1974/09/20/archives/cia-is-linked-to...

> Is it worse if the alternative is another authoritarian?

Yes, the USA shouldn't be meddling in the domestic affairs of other countries to action its proxy cold war against a rival super power.

I acknowledge that the USA determined this was a correct course of action in order to strengthen its hegemony, and the hegemony of global capitalism, however it was still unethical and in opposition to the needs of people in the USA.

But if the USDR is already meddling it’s not longer purely “domestic affairs” is it?

If your take is that it’s unethical, that’s fine, but you need to consider the alternative - giving the USSR free rein to meddle in the domestic politics of the Southern hemisphere. The citizens of those countries end up living under an authoritarian anyways.

I’m not saying it isn’t an ugly business, but I’m not sure the alternative is much better.

It is insane that this is downvoted. You have to be wrong in the head to think that a country helping a coup that clearly damaged another country is a good thing.
>Like most "CIA coups", the role the CIA played in Chile is more of a "hey let's help this guy who is already planning a coup"

Absolutely wrong, to the point of negationism. Amongst many things, the CIA trained South American militaries and police in torture through the School of the Americas.

https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2246205

If "this guy" wasn't already planning a coup, the CIA would have done it themselves anyway. Overthrowing Allende by any means was a core mission for them. The CIA was directly responsible for killing a general, René Schneider, who stood against any attempt at a coup.

And then they collaborated with Argentina's (and other South Amrican dictatorships') Operation Condor:

-mass abduction

-death squads

-torture of anyone suspected of being even vaguely leftist (electric shocks, prolonged immersion in water, cigarette burns, sexual abuse, rape, removal of teeth and fingernails, castration, and burning with boiling water, oil and acid)

-throwing them alive fron planes into the sea, hands and feet bound

-kidnapping newborns from their "leftist" mothers (subsequenly killed) to give them to conservative families

Sources rather than “trust me bro” would be nice.

“ In the best traditions of the CIA, catastrophe ensued. Viaux ignored the explicit U.S. instructions to cease-and-desist; two abduction efforts against Schneider, on 19 and 20 October, failed; the third attempt, on 22 October, ended with Schneider being mortally wounded (he died on 25 October);”

Your whole article is a giant "trust me bro" based on some unclassified testimonies coming from the most guilty, and ends with the insane and unsupported assertion that Allende was going to set up gulags (which doesn't address the fact that the CIA, before and after the coup, trained the juntas of all South America how to disappear and torture opponents on the French model of the Battle of Algiers).
The article provides more than 50 references to sources. It has has links to previously classified CIA documents.

Your rebuttal consists of one source completely unrelated to what happened in Chile. Well done.

And what the CIA was doing in other countries is irrelevant to whether what was article describes as happening in Chile is accurate.

If you're going to claim the article isn't true, then an actual rebuttal of the article arguments would be a helpful place to start.

> It's like wishing militaries didn't exist.

I'm convinced that the evolution of the internet will bring this as well.

I think the internet is making this problem worse, actually.
In the short-term, the wheat and chaff are very mixed for sure.

But I don't think nation-states are likely to survive for more than 500 or so more years. And the capacity for collaboration, innovation, and even perhaps transcendence into something like a distinct and more peaceful species seems to only grow.