[whatnow37373]

People will start caring when their devices start bricking, loading websites takes 12sec and registering for medicaid is only possible between 9 and 11AM and then only if lucky.

We are in this weird twilight zone where everything is still relativity high quality and stuff sort of works but in a few decades shit will start degrading faster than you can say “OpenAI”.

Weird thing will start happening like tax systems for the government not being able to be upgraded while consuming billions, infrastructure failing for unknown reasons, simple non or low-power devices that are now ubiquitous will become rare. Everything will require subscriptions and internet access and nothing will work right. You will have to talk to LLMs all day.

[yoyohello13]

I'm convinced the Microsoft Teams team has gone all in on vibe coding. I have never seen so many broken features released in such a short time frame as the last couple months. This is the future as more companies go all in on AI coding.

[JB_Dev]

Nah this is just microsofts quality bar in general. AI will only accelerate the decline.

[herpdyderp]

Nothing really new then, just faster enshittification timelines.

[const_cast]

> registering for medicaid is only possible between 9 and 11AM and then only if lucky.

When we got healthcare.gov it was pretty much this, maybe worse actually. Website was unusable and delivered like 5% of the requirements. It was pretty bad and people were pissed.

Of course in typical American government fashion, the task was outsourced to some companies in the private sector. Which then took 2 years to do it, went way over budget, and still delivered nothing.

[whatnow37373]

While this issue is complicated and caused by a variety of factors I believe it is indicative of the quality we are going to be seeing in the coming decades. Well, that plus ads. The ads will always work.

[chairhairair]

If the current tech plateaus (but continues to come down in price, as expected) then this is a good prediction.

But, then there will be a demand for "all-in-one" reliable mega apps to replace everything else. These apps will usher in the megacorp reality William Gibson described.

[johnnyanmac]

>but continues to come down in price, as expected

Is it? AI very much seems to be in market capture mode. And IIRC, very few businesses actually report profits.

I can only predict AI models ramping up the cost like crazy once the victor captures the market. Same as every other tech trend in the last 20 years.

[chairhairair]

Hosting, bandwidth, storage, and compute all have come down by orders of magnitude in 20 years.

Regardless which model is currently the best, it looks like there will be an open weight model ~6 months behind it which can be vendored at costs that are closely tied to the hardware costs.

[wiseowise]

> People will start caring when their devices start bricking, loading websites takes 12sec and registering for medicaid is only possible between 9 and 11AM and then only if lucky.

I don’t know about Medicaid, but the other two are already true right now.