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by chairhairair 394 days ago
If the current tech plateaus (but continues to come down in price, as expected) then this is a good prediction.

But, then there will be a demand for "all-in-one" reliable mega apps to replace everything else. These apps will usher in the megacorp reality William Gibson described.

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>but continues to come down in price, as expected

Is it? AI very much seems to be in market capture mode. And IIRC, very few businesses actually report profits.

I can only predict AI models ramping up the cost like crazy once the victor captures the market. Same as every other tech trend in the last 20 years.

Hosting, bandwidth, storage, and compute all have come down by orders of magnitude in 20 years.

Regardless which model is currently the best, it looks like there will be an open weight model ~6 months behind it which can be vendored at costs that are closely tied to the hardware costs.