Unfortunately there are too many states and not enough polls to make a model based on state-level polls so you have to infer state-level results based on something other than state-level polls.
> there are too many states and not enough polls to make a model based on state-level polls
There aren’t that may states. You don’t need partisan polling in Vermont and Wyoming, for example.
> you have to infer state-level results based on something other than state-level polls
Yes. As I said. That is what you use national polls. “But the electoral college” isn’t a valid argument against election models. The reality is paucity of granular data and complexity of predicting swing states.
There aren’t that may states. You don’t need partisan polling in Vermont and Wyoming, for example.
> you have to infer state-level results based on something other than state-level polls
Yes. As I said. That is what you use national polls. “But the electoral college” isn’t a valid argument against election models. The reality is paucity of granular data and complexity of predicting swing states.