[JumpCrisscross]

> there are too many states and not enough polls to make a model based on state-level polls

There aren’t that may states. You don’t need partisan polling in Vermont and Wyoming, for example.

> you have to infer state-level results based on something other than state-level polls

Yes. As I said. That is what you use national polls. “But the electoral college” isn’t a valid argument against election models. The reality is paucity of granular data and complexity of predicting swing states.