| I think A/B testing is one of the most expensive ways of getting feedback on a product feature. - You have to make good decisions about what you're going to test - You have to build the feature twice - You have to establish a statistically robust tracking mechanism. Using a vendor helps here, but you still need to correctly integrate with them. - You have to test both versions of the feature AND the tracking and test selection mechanisms really well, because bugs in any of those invalidate the test - You have to run it in production for several weeks (or you won't get statistically significant results) - and ensure it doesn't overlap with other tests in a way that could bias the results - You'd better be good at statistics. I've seen plenty of A/B test results presented in ways that did not feel statistically sound to me. ... and after all of that, my experience is that a LOT of the tests you run don't show a statistically significant result one way or the other - so all of that effort really didn't teach you much that was useful. The problem is that talking people out of running an A/B test is really hard! No-one ever got fired for suggesting an A/B test - it feels like the "safe" option. Want to do something much cheaper than that which results in a much higher level of information? Run usability tests. Recruit 3-5 testers and watch them use your new feature over screen sharing and talk through what they're doing. This is an order of magnitude cheaper than A/B testing and will probably teach you a whole lot more. |
Steve Blank's quote about validating assumptions: "Lean was designed to inform the founders’ vision while they operated frugally at speed. It was not built as a focus group for consensus for those without deep convictions"
Is the Lean Startup Dead? (2018) https://medium.com/@sgblank/is-the-lean-startup-dead-71e0517...
Discussed on HN at the time: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=17917479