[aleph_minus_one]

> Once AI achieves runaway self improvement predicting the future is even more pointless than it is today. You’re looking at an economy in which the best human is worse at any and all jobs than the worst robot. There are no past examples to extrapolate from.

You take these strange dystopian science-fiction stories that AI bros invent to scam investors for their money far too seriously.

[baq]

Humans are notoriously bad at extrapolating exponentials.

[aleph_minus_one]

... and many people who make this claim are notoriously prone to extrapolating exponential trends into a far longer future than the exponential trend model is suitable for.

Addendum: Extrapolating exponentials is actually very easy for humans: just plot the y axis on a logarithmic scale and draw a "plausible looking line" in the diagram. :-)

[baq]

ah the 'everything is linear on a log-log plot when drawn with a fat marker' argument :)

[thijson]

In the Dune universe the AI's are banned.