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by stevenhuang 549 days ago
This is a you problem. Yes there will be pain in short term, but it will be worth it in long term.

Many of us look forward to what a future with AGI can do to help humanity and hopefully change society for the better, mainly to achieve a post scarcity economy.

4 comments

Surely the elites that control this fancy new technology will share the benefits with all of us _this_ time!
No it'll be like when tech took over 97% of agricultural work with 97% of us starving while all the money went to the farm elites.
How did that go for the farm workers?
I guess they did other stuff instead.
https://www.transformernews.ai/p/richard-ngo-openai-resign-s...

>But while the “making AGI” part of the mission seems well on track, it feels like I (and others) have gradually realized how much harder it is to contribute in a robustly positive way to the “succeeding” part of the mission, especially when it comes to preventing existential risks to humanity.

Almost every single one of the people OpenAI had hired to work on AI safety have left the firm with similar messages. Perhaps you should at least consider the thinking of experts? There is a real chance that this ends with significant good. There is also a real chance that this ends with the death of every single human being. That's never been a choice we've had to make before, and it seems like we as a species are unprepared to approach it.

Post scarcity seems very unlikely. Humans might be worthless, but there will still be a finite number of AIs, compute, space, resources.
How are you going to make housing, healthcare, etc. not scarce, and pay for them?
Robots supply that, controlled by democratic government.
Robots supply the land and physical labor that underlie the price of housing? Are you thinking of space colonies or something?

You need to make these expensive things nearly free if you're going to speak of post scarcity.

Robots supply the physical labour. The land shortages are largely regulatory - there's a lot of land out there or you could build higher.