[baq]

If you’re any good at SWE with a sprinkle of math and CS, your advantage will get multiplied by anywhere from 2 to 100x if you use the leverage of co-intelligence correctly. Things that took weeks before now easily take hours, so if you know what to build and especially what not to build (including but not limited to confabulations of models), you’ll do well.

[margorczynski]

But also on the other hand you'll need much less people to achieve the same effect. Effectively a whole team could be replaced by one lead guy that just based on the requirements orders the LLM what to do and glues it together.

[baq]

Yes - my point is: be that guy

[grugagag]

First many people can be that guy? If that is 5% that means 95% of the rest should go.

Second, just because a good engineer can have much higher throughput of work, multiplied by AI tools, we know the AI output is not reliable and needs a second look by humans. Will those 5% be able to stay on top of it? And keep their sanity at the same time?

[baq]

Do not assume constant demand. There are whole classes of projects which become feasible if they cash be made 10x faster/cheaper.

As for maintaining sanity… I’m cautiously optimistic that future models will continue to get better. Very cautiously. But cursor with Claude slaps and I’m not getting crazy, I actually enjoy the thing figuring out my next actions and just suggesting them.