[ben_w]

For most of my life, people use "common sense" as an insult, "XYZ has no common sense" or similar — therefore I think it is, in practice, the overton window of the person saying it.

Others define it as "knowledge, judgement, and taste which is more or less universal and which is held more or less without reflection or argument", which LLMs absolutely do demonstrate.

What you ask for, "getting through the next 30 seconds of life without a major screwup", would usually, 99.7% of the time, be passed by the Waymo autopilot.

[bamboozled]

Same could be said for a driver less train I suppose or the auto-pilot on a 747.

[creer]

I think you can go to a CNC machine, or a rock.

[Animats]

> What you ask for, "getting through the next 30 seconds of life without a major screwup", would usually, 99.7% of the time, be passed by the Waymo autopilot.

That speaks well of the Waymo autopilot, which does considerably better than that. Tesla "self driving", not so much.

[ben_w]

The Waymo percentage was calculated based on the disengagement rate and a guess at the average speed.

Tesla may be the same or not, but they aren't publishing current numbers where I could find them, only really old numbers.

Not that the exact value matters, because so far as I can tell the only autopilot worse than your threshold was the Uber one that crashed into a pedestrian pushing a bike. Even Tesla's 2016 version beat that.