[Animats]

> What you ask for, "getting through the next 30 seconds of life without a major screwup", would usually, 99.7% of the time, be passed by the Waymo autopilot.

That speaks well of the Waymo autopilot, which does considerably better than that. Tesla "self driving", not so much.

[ben_w]

The Waymo percentage was calculated based on the disengagement rate and a guess at the average speed.

Tesla may be the same or not, but they aren't publishing current numbers where I could find them, only really old numbers.

Not that the exact value matters, because so far as I can tell the only autopilot worse than your threshold was the Uber one that crashed into a pedestrian pushing a bike. Even Tesla's 2016 version beat that.