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by jerlam 732 days ago
Even if Covid-19 was similar in terms of causing damage, its high transmissibility and mutability means that it's worse on a population level.
1 comments

That's not true, as you have no idea what the distribution of complications is for almost any illness... you need to understand the complication distribution and the transmissibility in order to judge impact.
They were speaking hypothetically. Even if denotes a scenario where the impact per infection is equal.

In such a scenario Covid has worse impact due to the higher transmissibility. People seem to get it every 6-12 months. Flu infection is much less frequent.

Your assumption is that the impact per infection is equal or worse.

I think that there's no real basis to assume that, especially when young. I would expect the distribution of flu complications (externally validated, not based on self-reports) is actually worse.

I think the flu data is somewhat difficult here. Most people do not refer to having had it if they didn't get sick. Yet, studies are showing from a third to a half of people with the flu will be asymptomatic. Which, is kind of terrifying to me.
True, but Covid also has plenty of asymptomatic or low symptomatic cases. I’ve known a few who tested positive while reporting no symptoms.

A Chinese field study estimated people got the flu once every five years. It is simply much less contagious. Flu collapsed globally when countries put in place Covid precautions.

https://www.bbc.com/news/health-31698038.amp

Latest study I saw on flu was about 10% of people get it each season. And there was another study showing that families with toddlers are basically always exposed.

COVID does follow the same general rates of corona viruses, from what I remember. Which is to say it is higher than flu. So, I am not trying to downplay that.

If 10% get it then you'd get it roughly once in every ten years.