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by Tistel 846 days ago
It will happen someday. Still decades away. No true learning in the current LLMs just plagiarism so far to get better. I work at a place that is trying to use LLM to do a thing. just hired two humans to double check the work. They now do almost all of the work ...
2 comments
Workaccount2 846 days ago
GPT4 was decades away 2 years ago...
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ramblerman 846 days ago
and autonomous cars were just around the corner 10 years ago.

The last 20% is really hard

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seanmcdirmid 846 days ago
The DARPA grand challenge that represented the thought that this was even possibly only happened in 2004 (29 years ago). I heard they even have autonomous taxis in SF now, which was more progress than I would have predicted 10 years ago.

10 years ago was when Siri and the other voice assistants came out right? I see a huge amount of progress between then and now, but these LLMs sort of snuck up on us in the last two years. I don’t think we are hitting an AI winter anytime soon.

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jrflowers 846 days ago
> I heard they even have autonomous taxis in SF now

It is always spooky seeing how good the driver less taxis are

https://videos.files.wordpress.com/M9Dl3QYN/robocars.mp4

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filoleg 845 days ago
Just a nit, DARPA grand challenge in 2004 wasn’t 29 years ago, it was 19 years ago (or almost 20 years ago, if you round up by a month).
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tarruda 846 days ago
The last 20% is a blocker for autonomous cars because it can cause lives to be lost.
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ramblerman 846 days ago
Sure, but not all programming is building webapps either. There are many high stakes environments, with real consequences.

Additionally as the ball of mud grows, making slight but subtle changes to the system will get subsequently harder and harder to describe to the point where the tradeoff from using english is higher than flipping some code (imo).

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fendy3002 846 days ago
But we still need to have humans check or define specs for the program. If even human have problems when receiving specs from management, it'll be harder for them to instruct AI, at least for now. Unless there's some microchip transplants or brain reading interfaces that can translate those.
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roarcher 846 days ago
It was also decades away for quite a few decades.
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danielbln 846 days ago
I concur that it will happen someday, but decades? C'mon.
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