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by rmacqueen
847 days ago
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I swear this problem only ever causes confusion because the original wording is ambiguous about what the host's motivations are. Once you realize the host is trying to get you to lose and knows what's behind each door and must open a door, then it's clearer that you should switch. |
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The host does not really have any agency here.
The rules are intended to confuse people and trick them into thinking both remaining doors have the same probability. I can see how this would favour the house on average because once people committed and chose a door, they are invested and would tend not to change their mind. But the host’s actions have no effect. And even then, this might be an intuition, but does not provide any understanding as to what exactly happens.