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by kergonath
850 days ago
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The host’s motives don’t matter at all. If the first choice is a goat, then the host does not have any choice about the door to open, so their intent is irrelevant. If the first choice is a goat, then the outcome is the same regardless of the door the host chooses. The host does not really have any agency here. The rules are intended to confuse people and trick them into thinking both remaining doors have the same probability. I can see how this would favour the house on average because once people committed and chose a door, they are invested and would tend not to change their mind. But the host’s actions have no effect. And even then, this might be an intuition, but does not provide any understanding as to what exactly happens. |
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