| The study found at a general level that people with meningioma were more than twice as likely as people without the brain tumor to have had a bitewing X-ray sometime in their life. Running a story like this using relative percentages, but no absolute values, is absurd and contemptible. I'm not finding any absolute values for meningioma rates in any other stories about this particular study, but old pal wikipedia says: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Meningioma Many individuals have meningiomas but remain asymptomatic (no symptoms) for their entire life, so the meningiomas are not discovered until after an autopsy. 1-2% of all autopsies reveal meningiomas which were unknown to the individuals during their lifetime, since there were never any symptoms. In the 1970s, tumors causing symptoms were discovered in 2 out of 100,000 people, while tumors discovered without causing symptoms occurred in 5.7 out of 100,000, for a total incidence of 7.7/100,000. With the advent of modern sophisticated imaging systems such as CT scans, the discovery of asymptomatic meningiomas has tripled. I think I'll worry about something else. |
Gerd Gigerenzer has a nice book about the way risk is communicated.
(http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gerd_Gigerenzer)
(http://www.amazon.co.uk/Reckoning-Risk-Learning-Uncertainty-...)