Hacker News new | ask | show | jobs
by onlypositive 1059 days ago
Population caps out at 10b and begins to decline again around 2100. That's the current projections.
2 comments

UN projections, which are on the "business as usual" side of things.

Plenty of events, like the pandemic, which put immense downward pressure on fertility.

Also, the African continent is a net food importer. This could be turned around - particularly by Nigeria, which has the natural resources to produce fertiliser, but so far the observed effect has been a surge (+65%) of imports.

With the situation in Ukraine being what it is, I don't think this is sustainable.

Niger is currently experiencing a population explosion, which will force it to implement the same policies as Kenya to prevent a Malthusian catastrophe.

Which means 2 centuries before we get back to 7 or 8.
Don't worry, climate change will speed that right up
I do worry, because the ones that die will not be the ones who reaped the benefits and remain nonchalant about it today.