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Along that line re Moore's Law, the biggest clear advantage the US has in regards to AI, is: Nvidia, AMD, Intel (and obviously particularly Nvidia up to this point, although AMD and Intel are producing some potent GPUs). The reason the US was able to pull off a leap forward via OpenAI or LLaMa, is due to having Nvidia as basically a national treasure, but it's an integrated whole, the US has all the components necessary and the ecosystem that produces all the components (including talent, thought process, money, start-ups, pay scale (to lure talent)). The Europeans have never lacked for the brains side of being able to do it, certainly. Until they fill out the rest of the ecosystem they won't be able to really compete in AI (they'll lag far behind, with lots of blaming and empty promises big government projects). And China is its own worst enemy these days, all we need is for Xi to remain in power indefinitely and he'll throttle their potential as a global competitor. The US is close to locking up another round in the tech wars, riding on the same approach that has served it so well since WW2. Hopefully our do-something legislators are hands off long enough (ie don't snatch defeat from the jaws of victory). |