[minmax2020]

This is a very short-sighted view. Globalization requires certain level of operational efficiencies, such as speed and cost of communication and transportation. We have just recently reached a level where governments and corporations can support demands from billions of population. Technology will keep on progressing unless we end up in an extinction scenario, and at certain level globalization will be just another step in humanity's perpetual drive towards centralization.

[snapplebobapple]

It's actually a very long term view, looking at the last 9000 years or so of history we are aware of. You also have requirements confused with incentives. That the things you mention are required does not in any way mean globalization will happen if they are present. There needs to be a strong incentive that is more valuable than the status quo to all the parties involved and there are all sorts of assumptions about that incentive that are unclear if they are true or pretty clear they are false (eg: assuming economies of scale will continue with size at a meaningful enough value rather than plateauing, changing slope to be much flatter or outright decreasing. Assuming technology will always improve. Assuming population changes from, for example, an ultra low birth rate won't precipitate one of the many breaking up of large countries we have seen in history, etc.)

[goldenchrome]

> Technology will keep on progressing unless we end up in an extinction scenario

Surely it’s “until” not “unless”. We’re going extinct at some point, even if we make it all the way to the heat death of the universe.

[lossolo]

Who knows? Maybe we will find a bug in current universe implementation and we will be able to breakout from the simulation in different form.