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by themihai 1296 days ago
Does this beta has any roadmap to become "stable"? The issue with FSD is the corner cases and I doubt we will see real FSD anytime soon. I would say the beta FSD is the equivalent of an intoxicated driver.
4 comments

Of course it will, just not as soon as it was advertised. The problem is not that FSD won't be successful, but that many people were led to believe that it will be done in 1-2 years if they just buy the software package.
Don't known about timeframes but maybe there's a threshold of deaths they hope not to hit until they release a Service Pack upgrade.
But there should be no death as the beta is not supposed to be used "in production" (i.e without keeping your hands on the wheel)
As soon as Siri becomes reliable.
My personal guess: if Gmail stayed in beta for 5 years after it was opened to the general public, and it was "just" an email service where the only unknowns are how people and servers will abuse the SMTP protocol... then Tesla's FSD will probably stay in beta forever :-)
Gmail had no pressure to go out of beta. FSD safer than human drivers unlocks untold amounts of money.
While I agree with you, FSD is already safer than human drivers in some cases. Safer is not yet a quantifiable metric.

My guess is that FSD will be in Beta until such metric is defined, measured, and indeed FSD comes ahead of humans.