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by Gigachad 1477 days ago
Tech journalism needs a dramatic story. So every product is either world changing or a complete failure.
3 comments

Someone will probably mention that "it's not tech journalism, but all journalism", and I would probably agree. However please keep in mind that there is a significant selection bias here itself -- non-dramatic stories will be less frequently featured here on HN, and even if they are, attract less comments.
SemiAnalysis may be burying the lede and underhyping the story of the decade here: head of apple arch leaves and takes 100 process engineers to start stealth risc startup and its creating a delay effect in consumer tech innovation, bombshell!
To their credit, with many billions on the line, products do have a bit of a tendency to be a failure if all they can do is tread water.
Does anyone seriously think the performance of the M2 processor will have any meaningful impact on Apple's success?

They made a big splash with the M1 macbook air, which was at the time an incredible value, and the clear best laptop on the market in terms of price/performance hands down. Apple was able to get splashy headlines, and assert their silicon was not just competitive with, but better than Intel and AMD. That's the critical goal they had to reach to validate Apple Silicon as a valid contender in the market.

This year, they're iterating on the design, and getting the market to accept a 20% price increase on the macbook air, which is their mass-market product.

Does anything they do from here on out actually depend on them continuing to win in the semiconductor space? It's not as if these chips are competing for server slots, where winning comes down to raw numbers in terms of performance/Watt.

These macbooks are going to be absolutely fine for the foreseeable future for everything anyone needs a mac to do: video editing, coding, content consumption etc. run absolutely great on these devices which have excellent battery life and great user experience.

Also Apple has lots of knobs to turn due to the high degree of vertical integration. There is a lot of slack they can pick up in OS performance (e.g. process scheduler, memory management). So their overall benchmarks can continue to trend up even if the locus of improvement varies.
Not if the rest of the market is the same. Most products get yearly updates that are completely unremarkable. No one gets hyped up for the next year edition of a car.
M1 to M1+ would be like the release of the next year edition of a car. M1 to M2 would be like the release of the next generation of a car. A lot of people get hyped up for the release of the next generation of a car.
Major car models are introduced every ~6 years with refreshes at 3 years.
Different types of products have different product cycle times, but that doesn't make the comparison between stages of the product refresh inaccurate.
The MacBook Pro M1+ Pro is just too much.