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by fddhjjj 1485 days ago
Very clearly explained recent history. Thank you.

> Then in December, the megacaps we're squeezed further until the S&P 500 had a negative return relative to price!

What does this mean? What is negative return relative to price?

1 comments

OP can clarify what they meant but I understand it as: sum return_i/yield_i - price < 0
I don't follow your equation.

https://ycharts.com/indicators/sp_500_monthly_return

Yours is unweighted, but return of the S&P in Dec 2021 4.36% The dividend yield about 1.37% The price ~4600.

4.36/1.37 - 4600 indeed very less than zero.

The relationship means nothing to me.

I must be getting this all wrong.

I've been at top HFs the last 15 years, I do this for a living, and I have no idea what the guy is talking about either.
It’s the sum over all periods into the future.
How do we get the returns or dividend yields for future periods?