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by plehoux 1519 days ago
If a private corporation releasing an update to its code base to allow its own service to keep working brings us into WWIII... the root cause of the WWIII is definitely not the code update.
4 comments

Exactly, this bizarre blaming the victim for provoking more violence from the aggressor is pernicious and ill conceived imo. But they might go nuclear or attack the NATO/US! Maniacs will do what maniacs do, that genie is out of the bottle. Countries have a right to control their airspace, countries have the right to acquire military equipment as they please. Invaders do not get to dictate that.
We should be careful of outright demonizing Putin. He's not just a monster and he can be reasoned with. Maybe he even has some legitimate grievances (or at least things we might choose to accomodate to avoid ...)

Perhaps we can to have systems, like the "we're testing an ICBM" system we have in place, to avoid escalations that will draw us into WW3. There must a way to get a reasoned, thoughtful and cooperative answer to this question. For example, let's say we place 5 test satellites in orbit and if you shoot one (?) of those down, you get to request blocking internet service in a geographical region, without escalating things into a space war.

That may have been the case in the past, but today he's just a monster. He had his chance at statesmanship and royally messed it up and the sooner the mad dog is put down the better and then we have to hope that the next dog won't be madder. I wonder if we'll ever see a world where Russia plays nice and stays nice.
> I wonder if we'll ever see a world where Russia plays nice and stays nice.

Unfortunately any real hope for that ship has sailed down the toilet at hypersonic speeds. Its not about the amount of good, smart, moral etc. folks that are still in Russia, in relatively educated population of 160 million there will always be quite a few of those.

But this layer is, and will be marginal and powerless in Russia unless its already part of government and thus on side of corruption, theft and organized murder. Mainstream applauds Putin genocide or not, or in best possible scenario indulges in complacency, preferring seemingly strong dictator over any uncertainty that more freedom can bring. Weakening any russian influence and strength is by far the best course of action, short term and especially long term.

Only a fool comes again and again with open hands for an embrace to a sociopath wielding blood stained knife.

Its a mistake when trying to apply western thinking and actions to Russia, they are very far from it and getting further away as we speak.

All this, and much much more. Plus yeah, Putin is a mass murderer, allies didn't negotiate much with Hitler neither. He also said and put in contracts whatever gave advantage at that moment, only to break it at first occasion.

I fear that you are right.

But then we've essentially already set the stage for a re-run.

And that is the point. Elon sent starlink terminals to the Ukraine because of the war.
They had been trying to launch Starlink service there since before the war and the government was dragging their feet on regulatory approval. The war caused the government to rethink that.
Rethink as in:

"@elonmusk , while you try to colonize Mars — Russia try to occupy Ukraine! While your rockets successfully land from space — Russian rockets attack Ukrainian civil people! We ask you to provide Ukraine with Starlink stations and to address sane Russians to stand."

https://mobile.twitter.com/elonmusk/status/14977014840032133...

Root cause analysis in software postmortems and in business is important, but knowing the root cause that initiated WWIII is only really useful to understand in hopes of preventing WWIV.

It's irrelevant whether a private corporation software update or the assassination of Archduke Ferdinand causes a world war to break out, it must be avoided.

with that reasoning, everything can cause ww3.
We'd still be in WWIII.