[GekkePrutser]

Not a decline but a stabilisation. That's really what's needed to make our planet sustainable.

Right now the absolute worst thing you can do for the environment is to have a child as a westerner.

And we're not hoping for loss of life. Just a more balanced population in the long term.

We can't keep growing until every square meter of this planet is covered with people, I'm sure that's clear. Eventually resources will be constrained too much and massive wars over control of the scraps will be inevitable. Which will solve the problem of overpopulation, sure. But it'll be better to gradually reduce population growth to zero and finally reach a balance with our environment.

Nobody is speaking of a massive decline.

[kiba]

We will probably be more constrained by heat dissipation than resources.

The problem is not running out of material or energy, but the effect of pollution.

[collegeburner]

America amd Europe should not see falling population and declining economys to compensate for other countries' massively high birth rates. I should still get my 2 kids and will not change because somebody else had 8.

There's also the colossal millitary risk of being a nation with bad demographics fighting one with good ones. Which I am not willing to take.

[cik2e]

Western Europe, the US and China are already below replacement. If you have bought into this line of thinking then you should be saying:

>> Right now the absolute worst thing you can do for the environment is to have a child as an African. [0]

Because today's African babies are tomorrow's European migrants, who will bolster the ranks of the polluting global elite.

But we don't want to go here do we?

[0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_sovereign_states_and_d...

[GekkePrutser]

African kids don't cause as much pollution as Europeans and Americans do. By orders of magnitude.

However yes in the long term we should not keep growing our world population as a whole. I do understand the need for Africans to have more kids though. For two reasons: A lot more of them die due to poor living conditions, and they serve as a "pension" for the parents.

Obviously these concerns will be solved by better living conditions.

[zmgsabst]

Yes — that’s absolutely psychotic.

There’s no reason to think the carrying capacity is down around what we have now, and historically growing population has been the engine through which we’ve solved those problems.

Thinking that we need to “stabilize” at the current population is a delusion leading to insane policy recommendations.

Also — yes, lots of your peers in “sustainability” are talking about massive population declines.

[mensetmanusman]

“Right now the absolute worst thing you can do for the environment is to have a child as a westerner.”

By this logic one can rationally claim the best thing you can do for the environment is to die.

[nicoburns]

> By this logic one can rationally claim the best thing you can do for the environment is to die.

That may well be true for most people. Luckily the environment isn't the only factor in ethical considerations.

[dane-pgp]

Or to kill.

We need to be really careful that in our haste to make progress in environmental protection and gender equality, we don't find ourselves heading down the dark path towards eugenics or self-extinction.

[pessimizer]

Or to not have children that you don't want, which is what the discussion is about.

We don't avoid killing ourselves or others because of its effects on the environment, which are great. We avoid killing ourselves and others due to other considerations. I bet you can name some so I don't have to.

[dane-pgp]

> We avoid killing ourselves and others due to other considerations.

I'm not sure who this "we" is. Your reasons and mine may be different, and sadly some people can't accept any of these reasons.

[GekkePrutser]

Nobody talked about killing anyone.

It's just about avoiding pregnancies that are not even wanted.

[slothtrop]

Read this - https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/please-dont-give-up-on...

[GekkePrutser]

The "if we don't have many kids the bad guys become a bigger group" is precisely the attitude with which we will never solve these problems.

We have to stop this thinking of it being a race where we have to keep ahead of others. We have to work together or we will never solve our environmental issues.

And the thing about a kid emitting 1 ton CO2 per year is nonsense. Just bringing your kid on one international roundtrip flight already emits that much. Not to mention choices made in their name "I have to protect my kids so I have to drive an SUV tank" that I've heard many Irish parents claim. One ton is peanuts.

[slothtrop]

This was barely coherent and mostly doesn't touch on what the article purports.

The growth rate in your western country is pegged, as a matter of policy. It's met through immigration. Whether you have kids or not is neither here nor there; they will meet their target (note that carbon footprints are high in the West, and low in 3rd world countries, to the extent that marginal differences in growth in the 3rd world are irrelevant). This will subside when the global growth rate falters, which is already projected to happen. This can be accelerated by a) improving universal access to contraceptives, and b) improving 3rd world economies through trade and just regulation. In the interim we still need to improve efficiencies in the short-run to curb carbon emissions immediately. Obviously, not having kids has zero impact on this either. Innovations like renewables, seaweed-infused animal feed, etc are entering the market and will help bridge the gap, made possible through political will and investment from the financial sector in the order of trillions.

Don't have kids if you don't want them, surely. But don't pretend it makes a dent in the environmental crusade, and by extension, don't judge parents for a natural desire to start a family.

[zmgsabst]

You have a delusion we’ve hit some kind of cap, and your belief we need to stop breeding will lead to bad outcomes relative to groups who don’t share that maladaptive belief.

[xienze]

> Right now the absolute worst thing you can do for the environment is to have a child as a westerner.

Just out of curiosity, are you also opposed to immigration from third world countries into first world ones?

[GekkePrutser]

No I'm not. I am opposed to unlimited immigration though due to the shock effect on society.

[xienze]

Surely you can see where the issue is, don’t you? How can a westerner having a baby be any worse than an immigrant making their way to a western country, from a carbon footprint perspective? To me you can’t logically say that westerners having babies is a problem and still be OK with any amount of immigration, at least if the environment is your argument.

[GekkePrutser]

That's not really an immigration issue but a distribution of wealth issue IMO. Something we also have to reduce to have a more sustainable world.

The issue is that the source of our wealth externalises the cost to the environment. The problem is really with our western society, not the people.

It's pretty likely African immigrants can teach us a thing or two about living more in harmony with nature.

[xienze]

> It's pretty likely African immigrants can teach us a thing or two about living more in harmony with nature.

Well this is definitely a line of tortured logic I’ve never heard before in order to square “babies bad, immigrants OK.” But again, who has a higher carbon footprint? An African in Africa or an African in the USA? IMO if your concern is carbon footprint, you need to be against both western births and replacement immigration.

[GekkePrutser]

What we have to tackle is not immigration. It's the reason for it (too much discrepancy in standards of living), and our own pollution we put on the planet.

Because we are the main polluters on this planet, not them. We produce tens of times more pollution per person than people in Africa. The buck stops with us. We have to set a more sustainable standard of living and help others to attain it too. It's very unfair that where you're born defines your standard of living.

By looking purely at immigration you're looking only at one tiny piece of the puzzle and disregarding all the others.