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by ivan_gammel 1582 days ago
My country is Germany, the party I voted for is in the government and I’m pretty happy with our current foreign policy and the person responsible for it. I fully support the ban on shipping military hardware to the zones of conflict and focus on diplomatic effort.

That said, there is no evidence that this military buildup will result in anything and all those parrot talks about invasion or false flag operations are based only on mind guessing and wild assumptions of Putin’s insanity. There is more plausible explanation of what is going on. To understand it, it is necessary to look at the Russian military doctrine, its history of diplomatic interactions with NATO and the history of Russian-Ukrainian relations. Something that most of American and British media are apparently too lazy to do (German media are trying hard to understand what’s really happening and to present a nuanced picture).

1 comments

Sure. All predictions are guessing. Based on prior facts. E.g. annexation of Crimea.

We're literally seeing multiple reports from independent sources of bombings in those areas. The whole kindergarten bombing clearly there to trigger action that would result in a war.

This also piles up on what they say on national TV, the fact that they issue Russian passports to people in the area to justify the whole thing etc.

Will they eventually invade?

Who knows, that's like predicting the weather. But we don't guess the weather. We use maps and facts to make educated guesses based on facts.

Are they trying to trigger a situation that will give them an excuse to invade?

Sure. Obvious as daylight.