[Adrock]

I computed the Pareto optimal frontier of initial Wordle guesses, showing the tradeoff between maximizing green squares and maximizing yellow squares in this thread: https://twitter.com/adereth/status/1478435989982875648

[thurn]

This is interesting, you should re-do this analysis using the actual lists of 2000 valid words and 10,000 valid guesses, since it does fairly significantly change the math vs. a normal English dictionary (the word can almost never be plural, for example, dramatically reducing the frequency of S in the final position).

[ledauphin]

correct me if I'm wrong, but it seems like greens are strictly more valuable than yellows, so giving them equal weight doesn't make much sense to me.

[Adrock]

Yes, that’s true. But how much more valuable? Would you trade 0.1 expected greens for 0.2 expected yellows? Computing the Pareto optimal frontier shows you all your options.