Would I be happy for it to be driving around on the road? Probably.
Would I be happy for it to drive me, and it's 'my fault' if I don't notice it's gone wrong and kill someone? No.
So far Tesla (for example) seems nowhere near the point where they would accept responsibility for crashes -- they still always blame the driver for not paying attention.
I'll take 0.1% chance of death which I (arguably) can control, over a 0.001% chance of death which I absolutely cannot control at all.
It's so clear to me. Yes, taking a plane is similar, but I only take that risk a couple of times a year.
The 0.1% (to me) is a probability number as I have some control over each event. The probability is so low that it likely never will happen.
The 0.001% number is an eventual outcome number. "Run the experiment X amount of times, and death will happen 0.001% of the time". And it's more relevant than flying as we drive so much more.
Anytime you get on the road you are exposing yourself to the possibility that a suicidal or drunk or elderly person with dementia will kill you.
Personally, I would like to have very rigorous driving tests for old people and remove licenses for people with DUIs. The obvious question then is, how are old people and drunks supposed to get around. Self driving cars seem like an option eventually. It makes you safer compared to the alternative, which is we generally wait until someone is killed before we permanently remove someone's license.
Nothing short of 100% reliability will convince me that handing over control to a closed-box AI is better.
And even then, one small "bug" could change that conclusion. It just takes one weird, anomoly in the real world to mess things up. And maybe handling those things will eventually be perfected*. Maybe. But I don't intend to be the beta tester for that.
*I know the default is to hand control back to the driver, but then you may as well be driving (which I enjoy). "Shut up and drive" is far more fun than being your cars KPI manager.
Problem is, you are not alone on the road. And if somebody else does something really stupid, you can die as a consequence, without any chance to avoid it.
We are definitely not there yet, but I think of myself as a decent driver, and some assistant tools on high-end models are way better (just faster, probably) than me predicting stuff. For the first year this summer, I've driven a car that was quicker than I in an emergency break situation: while I started breaking, it depressed the pedal, and I was quite surprised, 'cause the car in front of me didn't begin breaking yet.
There's also the fact though, that if you're elderly you can't really avoid being a worse driver. I know particularly in rural areas where there's no public transportation, a lot of elderly people would accept an error rate higher than what their own driving used to be. It seems pretty tough for the rest of us to deny them access to a technology like that while it's in the interstitial stage.
If errors in any subsystem surface out to the car, well then okay. But it's not unlikely that the overall system would deal with an error in the image classifier.
Pay wall so I can’t read the article. But can someone comment on what 0.001% error means in real world scenarios?
To keep the maths easy, that’s 18 wrong frames/10min. So roughly 2/3 of a second.
If these images are spread out, maybe it’s fine. If it’s failing on certain types of images, then those images could be grouped and 2/3rds of a second is more than enough time for a serious failure.
Don't forget - the error might be reproduce-able. As in, it will error rarely, but at that one obstacle, with that one light config, it will error repeatedly and constantly.
AI related car accidents and deaths will have special places and dates, were they will repeat annually.
Would I be happy for it to be driving around on the road? Probably.
Would I be happy for it to drive me, and it's 'my fault' if I don't notice it's gone wrong and kill someone? No.
So far Tesla (for example) seems nowhere near the point where they would accept responsibility for crashes -- they still always blame the driver for not paying attention.