The pandemic will never end, no matter how many ppl we vaccinate in the West.
We'll never vaccinate Central Asia and Africa. Even if we could, COVID bifurcates quicker than we can vaccinate the world. Ergo COVID will never go extinct.
I think most experts have already said they expect it to be endemic going forward. But we can definitely use vaccines to get it to levels where it no longer qualifies as a pandemic.
Fair enough, but then you have to tell me at what level is the "pandemic over" for all practical purposes.
We're at a seven day avg. of 300deaths/day right now. Car fatalities are 100deaths/day [2] . Smoking is >1000 death/day [3]. So we're near the geometric mean between smokes and cars.
At some point we transition to an endemic virus with a background rate of disease which is similar to influenza or colds, but we aren't there yet when its filling up the ICUs. And if everyone would get vaccinated, then we'd be there today.
For practical purposes most people will consider the pandemic over when the local epidemic is over. Which is when COVID infections reach a stable baseline and we're not experiencing multiple major outbreaks simultaneously.
Thank you for giving me an objective metric, but I don't think the objective standard follows from your first sentence: most people consider the pandemic over in their local area.
I don't find the slippery slope argument to be a very convincing one. Given the delta variant the suggestion that we may need a booster shot is not absurd nor unexpected.
There's been talk of a booster shot since the development of the vaccine started.
It is the totality of it all.
Every bit of advice is usually contradicted within 3-6 months.
This is a coronavirus that mutates easily. As many have suggested, it is likely here to stay. Are we going live in fear forever? Wearing masks, social distancing or whatever else they want us to do? In Australia, they are now saying you can't talk to people.
Obviously we did not trust them with the original vaccines. We made them go through a series of rigorous clinical trials and apply for authorization before we allowed general use of their vaccines. Most vaccines still haven't made it through the process and many never will.
> Use your heads, this isn't supposed to end.
That's a self-fulfilling prophecy, the lower the vaccination rate the longer the pandemic will last.