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by armada651 1794 days ago
For practical purposes most people will consider the pandemic over when the local epidemic is over. Which is when COVID infections reach a stable baseline and we're not experiencing multiple major outbreaks simultaneously.

In other words, it's over when this map is mostly blue and yellow: https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#cases_community

1 comments

Thank you for giving me an objective metric, but I don't think the objective standard follows from your first sentence: most people consider the pandemic over in their local area.
I didn't say local area. A pandemic is an epidemic in multiple countries. So when I say "local epidemic" I mean the epidemic in their country.

I expect that some countries will reach herd immunity and have no major outbreaks anymore while there are still outbreaks across other parts of the world.