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by BummerCloud 1992 days ago
I'd be cautious multiplying your MRR x 12 to establish ARR. Things like seasonality or promotions could overestimate your ARR by using inflated subscription numbers. Additionally, if customers are not contractually obligated to stick around for a year, that calculation may not account for month-to-month churn.
2 comments

ARR is always MRRx12.

You're talking about a revenue model.

I think the confusion here stems from the terms "annual run rate" and "annual recurring revenue" sharing the same acronym
I admit it’s confusing, but those are exactly the same thing. Have the same formulas.

https://www-priceintelligently-com.cdn.ampproject.org/i/s/ww...

https://www-profitwell-com.cdn.ampproject.org/i/s/www.profit...

> ARR is always MRRx12.

Are you saying that ARR is meaningless for heavily seasonal businesses?

not meaningless, but it is well understood that ARR=MRRx12, so if there's a heavily seasonal business with a big percentage of monthly users, ARR is known to be skewed. In those cases I'd look for YoY growth with prev year.
I’m pretty comfortable with MRRx12 for annual run rate, which is pretty normal from what I’ve seen. But I do have other unmentioned revenue forecasting metrics based on current/past growth/churn rate, which I pay more attention to than my ARR. I don’t base a lot on this number either way.